Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD bears could now aim to test the year low around the $20.45 zone

  • Silver saw fresh selling on Wednesday and broke the horizontal support at $21.50.
  • The technical setup favors the bears and supports the prospects for an extension of the decline.
  • Sustained strength beyond the $22.00 mark is needed to negate the short-term bearish outlook.

On Wednesday, the silver came under renewed selling pressure and broke below the $21.50-$21.45 support zone, which has held since the beginning of the current week. The intraday decline extended through the first half of the European session and dragged cash prices to a one-week low around the $21.25 area.

As XAG/USD has been struggling to find acceptance above the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart and has failed repeatedly ahead of the $22.00 mark, the drop favors bearish traders. The negative outlook is reinforced by the fact that the oscillators on the 4hr/daily charts have started drifting back into bearish territory again.

The technical set-up supports the prospects of a further short-term depreciation move and could drag XAG/USD back to the $21.00 zone on the way to the monthly low around the $20.90 zone. The bearish trajectory could extend towards the yearly low, around the $20.45 region, set in May, before the white metal falls to the psychological mark of $20.00.

On the other hand, any significant recovery attempts now appear to face stiff resistance near the $21.45-$21.50 horizontal support breakout point. A further move higher would be seen as a selling opportunity near the $21.75 region (200-period SMA). This, in turn, should limit XAG/USD’s rally near the $21.90-$22.00 high supply zone.

Silver 4 hour chart

Technical levels

XAG/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 21.56
Today’s Daily Change -0.13
Today’s Daily Change % -0.60
Today’s Daily Opening 21.69
Trends
20 Daily SMA 21.82
50 Daily SMA 22.53
100 Daily SMA 23.52
200 Daily SMA 23.36
levels
Previous Daily High 21.94
Previous Daily Minimum 21.49
Previous Maximum Weekly 22.02
Previous Weekly Minimum 20.9
Monthly Prior Maximum 23.28
Previous Monthly Minimum 20.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 21.77
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 21.66
Daily Pivot Point S1 21.48
Daily Pivot Point S2 21.26
Daily Pivot Point S3 21.03
Daily Pivot Point R1 21.92
Daily Pivot Point R2 22.16
Daily Pivot Point R3 22.37

Source: Fx Street

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