Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD bounces off 1-week low, upside seems limited

  • Silver attracts some buying near the $19.00 level, above the one-week low hit on Wednesday.
  • The bearish technical setup suggests that the bounce attempt risks fading quickly.
  • Traders could wait for a sustained break below the $19.00 level before opening further bearish positions.

Silver finds some support near the $19.00 level and staged a modest recovery from a one-week low hit on Wednesday. This rally allows the white metal to break a three-day losing streak and halt its recent sharp pullback from the $21.25 area, the highest level since late June.

Technically, any further move to the upside is likely to face stiff resistance near the $19.55-$19.60 confluence support breakout point. This zone comprises the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent recovery from the yearly low and the 100-period SMA on the 4-hour chart. This, in turn, should act as a pivot point and help determine the short-term path of XAG/USD.

A convincing break of the aforementioned barrier will suggest that the recent decline is over and will lift spot prices back towards the psychological $20.00 level. The latter coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci, above which XAG/USD could rise to the 23.6% Fibonacci, around the $20.40 zone. The momentum could extend further towards the recovery of the $21.00 level.

Meanwhile, the oscillators on the daily chart have just entered negative territory and maintain their bearish bias on the 4-hour chart. The setup supports the prospect of further losses. Sustained weakness below the $19.00 level is needed to reaffirm the outlook. XAG/USD could then slide towards the $18.60 zone before falling to the $18.35 and $18.00 zone.

Silver 4 hour chart

fxsoriginal

silver key levels

XAG/USD

Overview
last price today 19.27
daily change today 0.12
Today’s daily variation in % 0.63
Daily opening today 19.15
Trends
daily SMA20 19.54
daily SMA50 19.4
daily SMA100 19.95
SMA200 Journal 21.87
levels
Previous daily high 19.72
Previous Daily Low 19.07
Previous Weekly High 21.24
Previous Weekly Low 19.01
Previous Monthly High 20.02
Previous Monthly Low 17.56
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 19.32
Daily Fibonacci of 61.8% 19.47
Daily Pivot Point S1 18.9
Daily Pivot Point S2 18.66
Daily Pivot Point S3 18.25
Daily Pivot Point R1 19.56
Daily Pivot Point R2 19.97
Daily Pivot Point R3 20.22

Source: Fx Street

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