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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD Bulls Expect to Break Downtrend Line

  • Silver price fails again at multi-month downtrend line resistance.
  • The technical setup favors the bulls and supports the prospects for an eventual breakout.
  • A weakness below the $18.80-$75 area is necessary to nullify the short-term positive bias.

Silver price (XAG/USD) meets fresh selloff on Tuesday and remains on the defensive at the start of the European session. The white metal is currently trading near the daily low, just below $19.00.

From a technical point of view, XAG/USD has been trading in a known range for the past week. Ranged price action points to indecision among traders about the next directional move. Furthermore, the upside remains capped by the resistance of a descending trend line that extends from the May high.

The aforementioned barrier around the $19.75 area should act as a key point and help determine the short-term path of XAG/USD. A convincing breakout will be seen as a new trigger for the bulls and will set the stage for an extension of the recent recovery from the more than two-year low in the $17.55 region touched earlier this month.

As the oscillators on the daily chart remain slightly uptrend, XAG/USD could aim to break above the psychological $20.00 level and test the 100-day SMA near the $20.25 zone. Some follow through has the potential to lift silver prices past the $20.50 intermediate hurdle, towards the $21.00 level.

On the other hand, the $19.00 level could defend the immediate drop ahead of the $18.80-$18.75 zone, which if broken decisively will turn the short-term trend in favor of the bears. XAG/USD could then accelerate down to the $18.45-$18.40 support before finally falling to the $18.00 round level.

silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

silver key levels

XAG/USD

Overview
last price today 19.38
daily change today -0.18
Today Daily change % -0.92
Daily opening today 19.56
Trends
daily SMA20 18.82
daily SMA50 19.26
daily SMA100 20.31
daily SMA200 22.11
levels
Previous daily high 19.66
Previous Daily Low 19.22
Previous Weekly High 20.02
Previous Weekly Low 18.78
Previous Monthly High 20.88
Previous Monthly Low 17.94
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 19.39
Daily Fibonacci of 61.8% 19.49
Daily Pivot Point S1 19.3
Daily Pivot Point S2 19.04
Daily Pivot Point S3 18.86
Daily Pivot Point R1 19.74
Daily Pivot Point R2 19.92
Daily Pivot Point R3 20.17

Source: Fx Street

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