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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD bulls take a breather near the 50-day SMA barrier at $20.50

  • Silver is seen digesting its recent strong move towards a one-month high, set earlier this Monday.
  • The oscillators on the daily chart favor the bulls and support the prospects for further gains.
  • In the 4 hours chart, the RSI is slightly overbought, which justifies a consolidation before the next rise.
the silver struggles to ride last week’s strong bullish move and swings between tepid gains and small losses on the first day of a new week. The white metal continues the consolidating sideways price move during the early American session and remains confined to a range below $20.50, or the one-month high set earlier this Monday.
From a technical point of view, the XAG/USD, so far, has struggled to find acceptance above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the $22.52 drop to $18.15. Furthermore, the strong positive momentum stalls near the 50-day SMA. The latter should now act as a key point and help traders determine the next leg of a directional move.
The oscillators on the daily chart, meanwhile, have just started to gain positive traction and support the prospects for a further short-term appreciation move. However, the RSI (14) on the daily chart is already showing overbought conditions. This makes it prudent to wait for a short-term consolidation before the next XAG/USD rally.
Spot prices could then aim to break above the 61.8% Fibonacci level, around the $20.85 area, and reclaim the round $21.00 level. The momentum could extend further and lift XAG/USD towards the next relevant hurdle near the $21.40-$21.50 zone on the way to the $22.00 level and the 100-day SMA, currently around the $22.15 zone. .
On the other hand, any significant decline seems to find good support near the key psychological level of $20.00. Below is the 38.2% Fibonacci level, around the $19.80 area. A convincing break below the latter would suggest that the recovery from last year’s low has run out and shift the bias in favor of bearish traders.
Silver Daily Chart
Technical levels

XAG/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 20.4
Today’s Daily Change 0.06
Today’s Daily Change % 0.29
Today’s Daily Opening 20.34
Trends
20 Daily SMA 19.07
50 Daily SMA 20.56
100 Daily SMA 22.23
200 Daily SMA 22.9
levels
Previous Daily High 20.37
Previous Daily Minimum 19.85
Previous Maximum Weekly 20.37
Previous Weekly Minimum 18.32
Monthly Prior Maximum 20.37
Previous Monthly Minimum 18.15
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 20.17
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 20.05
Daily Pivot Point S1 twenty
Daily Pivot Point S2 19.66
Daily Pivot Point S3 19.48
Daily Pivot Point R1 20.52
Daily Pivot Point R2 20.71
Daily Pivot Point R3 21.04

Source: Fx Street

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