Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD Fails Before $22.00, Breakout is at 100-Day SMA Support

  • Silver is struggling to capitalize on its modest intraday gains to the $22.00 area.
  • The recent breakdown of key technical levels supports the prospects for further losses.
  • A sustained move above the $22.55-$22.60 zone is needed to invalidate the bearish outlook.

the silver It builds on Friday’s modest bounce from the $21.20-$21.15 zone, or its lowest since Nov. 29, and attracts some buyers on the first day of a new week. However, the intraday rally lacks bullish conviction and fails just before $22.00.

From a technical perspective, this zone represents the breakout point of the support of the 100-day simple moving average (SMA). This is followed by the 38.2% fibonacci retracement level of the recent rally from October 2022, around $22.15. Any further move higher is more likely to be met with a new bid and remain capped near the $22.55-$22.60 resistance zone.

The latter should act as a pivot point, which if decisively exceeded will negate any short-term bearish bias. The ensuing move higher has the potential to push XAG/USD towards $24.00 en route to the $24.50 bid zone. Follow-on buying will tip the balance back in favor of the bulls and pave the way for further gains.

On the other hand, the 50% Fibonacci level, around the $21.35 zone, seems to protect the immediate fall. Friday’s swing low to follow, around the $21.20-$20.15 area, near the 50% Fibonacci level. A convincing break below the latter will be seen as a new trigger for bears and make XAG/USD vulnerable to further weakening below $21.00.

Taking into account that the technical indicators on the daily chart remain in negative territory, the white metal could fall as low as 61.8% Fibonacci, around the $20.60 area. The bearish trajectory could extend further to challenge the key psychological $20.00 level en route to the next relevant support near the $19.75-$19.70 horizontal zone.

silver daily chart

fxoriginal

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Last price today 21.71
daily change today -0.05
today’s daily variation -0.23
today’s daily opening 21.76
Trends
daily SMA20 22.76
daily SMA50 23.34
daily SMA100 21.98
daily SMA200 21.02
levels
previous daily high 21.81
previous daily low 21.18
Previous Weekly High 22.08
previous weekly low 21.18
Previous Monthly High 24.55
Previous monthly minimum 22.76
Fibonacci daily 38.2 21.57
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 21.42
Daily Pivot Point S1 21.36
Daily Pivot Point S2 20.96
Daily Pivot Point S3 20.73
Daily Pivot Point R1 21.99
Daily Pivot Point R2 22.21
Daily Pivot Point R3 22.62

Source: Fx Street

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