Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD falls from $29, short-term outlook remains firm

  • Silver price retreats from its daily high, with no signs of retaliation from Iran following Israel's limited airstrike.
  • The Fed's hawkish stance fails to boost US bond yields.
  • The Fed's John Williams is comfortable with further interest rate hikes if inflation remains persistent.

The price of the Silver (XAG/USD) pulls back as it tries to regain the crucial resistance of $29.00 in the European session on Friday. The white metal gives up early gains, boosted by reports from the Middle East that Iran's air defense destroyed three Israeli army drones. Israel has not yet confirmed that it carried out these attacks in retaliation for an Iranian airstrike against its state.

The near-term outlook for Silver remains firm as worsening geopolitical tensions will keep demand for safe-haven assets intact. Meanwhile, global markets are showing asset-specific action as risk currencies have recovered losses recorded in early Asia, while global equities remain under pressure. S&P 500 futures have posted significant losses in the European session.

Yields on the interest-bearing assets of the US economy have plummeted despite the Federal Reserve's (Fed) inclination to keep interest rates higher for longer. The 10-year US Treasury yield falls to 4.59%. Declining bond yields lower the opportunity cost of investing in bullion.

On Thursday, New York Fed President John Williams said he sees no urgency in lowering rates and warned that the central bank is willing to raise them again if data suggests persistent price pressures.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains at 106.00 as Fed officials support keeping interest rates higher due to stubbornly high inflation, which has been fueled by tense labor market conditions.

Silver technical analysis

The price of Silver remains in a tight range between $28 and $29 since the last four trading sessions on an hourly time frame. This demonstrates a sharp contraction in volatility, which could explode in either direction. The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) is oscillating within the range of 40.00-60.00, indicating indecision among market participants.

La Plata hourly chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Latest price today 28.2
Today Daily Change -0.04
Today's daily change -0.14
Today's daily opening 28.24
Trends
daily SMA20 26.73
50 daily SMA 24.82
SMA100 daily 24.1
SMA200 Journal 23.7
Levels
Previous daily high 28.66
Previous daily low 28.14
Previous weekly high 29.8
Previous weekly low 26.88
Previous Monthly High 25.77
Previous monthly low 22.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 28.46
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 28.34
Daily Pivot Point S1 28.03
Daily Pivot Point S2 27.83
Daily Pivot Point S3 27.51
Daily Pivot Point R1 28.55
Daily Pivot Point R2 28.87
Daily Pivot Point R3 29.07

Source: Fx Street

You may also like