Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD flirts with daily low, stays above 38.2% Fibonacci

  • Silver price meets some selling and erases some of Friday’s strong gains to a two-week high.
  • The technical situation supports the possibility of buying at lower levels.
  • Sustained weakness below the $22.30 area could pave the way for further intraday losses.

The price of Silver (XAG/USD) starts the week on a weaker note and erodes some of Friday’s strong advance to the $22.80 area, or a two-week high. The white metal maintains its selling tone during the early stages of the European session and currently sits just above $22.50, down more than 0.70% on the day.

From a technical standpoint, Friday’s sustained break through a multi-day trading range and subsequent move above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the August-October dip favors the bulls. Additionally, the daily chart oscillators have just started to gain positive traction and support the prospects for some buying at lower levels near the $22.30 area.

However, some follow-through selling could cause XAG/USD to weaken further below the $22.00 level, towards the 23.6% Fibonacci, around the $21.75 area. If it fails to defend these support levels, the white metal could be dragged towards the intermediate support of $21.35-$21.30, on the way to the round level of $21.00 and the zone of $20.70-$20.65, or the seven-month low that played earlier this month.

On the other hand, the bulls could wait to surpass the $22.80 zone, the 50% Fibonacci, before opening new positions. XAG/USD could then surpass the $23.00 area and continue rising to test the confluence of $23.35, which comprises the important 200-day SMA and 61.8% Fibonacci. A sustained move above that level will set the stage for a new appreciation move.

The subsequent bullish move has the potential to lift $24.30-$24.35.

Daily Silver Price Chart

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Additional technical levels

XAG/USD

Overview
Latest price today 22.54
Today Daily variation -0.18
Today’s daily variation -0.79
Today’s daily opening 22.72
Trends
daily SMA20 22.31
daily SMA50 22.92
SMA100 daily 23.32
SMA200 daily 23.34
Levels
Previous daily high 22.82
Previous daily low 21.81
Previous weekly high 22.82
Previous weekly low 21.57
Previous Monthly High 24.82
Previous monthly low 22.12
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 22.43
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 22.19
Daily Pivot Point S1 22.08
Daily Pivot Point S2 21.44
Daily Pivot Point S3 21.07
Daily Pivot Point R1 23.09
Daily Pivot Point R2 23.46
Daily Pivot Point R3 24.1

Source: Fx Street

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