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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD looks vulnerable, sustained weakness below $19.00 expected

  • Silver shows some resistance below $19.00 and reverses the initial decline to a multi-day low.
  • The technical setup continues to favor the bears and supports the prospects for further decline in the short term.
  • Sustained strength beyond the key $20.00 psychological level is needed to override the negative bias.

the silver it reverses an intraday drop to levels below $19.00, or a multi-day low, and rises to the upper end of its daily trading range. The pair XAG/USD it is currently in the $19.15 to $19.20 zone, down more than 0.20% on the day.

From a technical point of view, any further move to the upside is likely to face resistance near the confluence support breakout point of $19.30-$19.40. Such zone comprises the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the sharp decline from the monthly high and the 100 hourly SMA, which should now act as a pivot point for intraday traders.

Sustained strength beyond that could trigger a short-covering move and allow XAG/USD to reclaim the psychological $20.00 level. The positive momentum could extend towards an intermediate hurdle near the $20.50 area, above which the bulls could target $21.00 on the way to the monthly high around the $21.25 region.

On the other hand, the $18.95-$18.90 zone coincides with the 23.6% Fibonacci level. A convincing break below will be seen as a new trigger for the bears and will expose the $18.00 signal with some intermediate support near the $18.30-$18.25 region. XAG/USD could drop further to challenge the low for the year around the $17.55 zone.

Silver 1 hour chart

fxsoriginal

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
last price today 19.2
daily change today -0.05
Today Daily change % -0.26
Daily opening today 19.25
Trends
daily SMA20 19.46
daily SMA50 19.11
daily SMA100 19.56
daily SMA200 21.6
levels
Previous daily high 19.64
Previous Daily Low 19
Previous Weekly High 19.78
Previous Weekly Low 18.79
Previous Monthly High 20.02
Previous Monthly Low 17.56
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 19.24
Daily Fibonacci of 61.8% 19.39
Daily Pivot Point S1 18.95
Daily Pivot Point S2 18.66
Daily Pivot Point S3 18.31
Daily Pivot Point R1 19.59
Daily Pivot Point R2 19.94
Daily Pivot Point R3 20.23

Source: Fx Street

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