Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD soars to $22.70 due to weakening Dollar, focus on US PCE

  • The price of Silver rises strongly to $22.70 due to the weakness of the US Dollar.
  • The easing of geopolitical tensions has influenced the attractiveness of safe haven assets.
  • The US core PCE price index data could postpone the Fed's plans to abandon its hawkish stance.

The price of Silver (XAG/USD) recovers strongly and approaches $22.70, while the US Dollar comes under pressure during the European session on Tuesday. The white metal rises as the US dollar faces selling due to easing geopolitical tensions.

US President Joe Biden hopes for a cessation of hostilities between Israel and Palestine next week. The US State Department stated that there has been progress in negotiations for the release of the Israeli hostages.

The DXY Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the Dollar against six rival currencies, extends its correction to 103.70.

This week, investors will focus on US January core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index data, which will provide more information on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate cut schedule. Investors expect monthly core PCE to rise sharply to 0.4%, up from 0.2% in December. The annual core PCE reading is expected to slow to 2.8% from the previous reading of 2.9%.

Expectations of a rate cut by the Fed will be postponed if core inflation turns out to be higher than expected.

On Monday, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Jeffrey Schmid said inflation remains above 2%, tight labor market conditions and good demand prospects mean there is no need to rush to cut rates.

Technical analysis of the price of Silver

Silver price finds temporary support near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (traced from the February 14 low of $21.93 to the February 16 high of $23.50) at $22.53. The white metal surpasses the 20-period exponential moving average (EMA), which is trading around $22.58.

The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) is oscillating in the range of 40-60, indicating that consolidation is coming.

1 hour chart of the price of Silver

silver

XAG/USD technical levels

Overview
Latest price today 22.64
Today Daily Change 0.11
Today Daily variation % 0.49
Today daily opening 22.53
Trends
daily SMA20 22.73
daily SMA50 23.07
SMA100 daily 23.21
SMA200 Journal 23.28
Levels
Previous daily high 22.95
Previous daily low 22.45
Previous weekly high 23.46
Previous weekly low 22.56
Previous Monthly High 24.09
Previous monthly low 21.93
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 22.64
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 22.76
Daily Pivot Point S1 22.34
Daily Pivot Point S2 22.14
Daily Pivot Point S3 21.83
Daily Pivot Point R1 22.84
Daily Pivot Point R2 23.15
Daily Pivot Point R3 23.34

Source: Fx Street

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