Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD stops recent positive move near 38.2% Fibonacci

  • Silver price reaches two-week highs on Friday, but fails to capitalize on it.
  • The bulls now wait for a sustained move above the $24.00 level before opening any new positions.
  • Weakness below the 100-day SMA is necessary to negate the short-term positive outlook.

Silver (XAG/USD) extends its recent bounce from levels below $23.00 and hits a two-week high on Friday, though it is struggling to capitalize on the modest intra-day rise. The white metal pulls back from near the $24.00 level, where the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the May dip lies, and trades with a slight positive bias early in the European session.

From a technical standpoint, this week’s sustained move above the 100-day SMA and the previous day’s break of 23.6% Fibonacci favor the bulls. Furthermore, the oscillators on the daily chart have recovered from the negative zone, although they have not yet confirmed a positive outlook. Therefore, it is prudent to wait for buying above the $24.00 level before positioning for an extension of the recent bounce from the more than two-month low reached last week.

XAG/USD could then pick up momentum towards the next relevant hurdle near the $24.20-$24.25 region en route to the breakout of the $24.40-$24.50 horizontal support. The latter coincides with the 50% Fibonacci, above which a further short-covering move should allow the bulls to recapture the psychological $25.00 level. The bullish trajectory could extend towards the $25.30-$25.35 area before the white metal finally makes another attempt to conquer the $26.00 level.

On the other hand, any significant retracement seems to attract new buyers near $23.00, the 23.6% Fibonacci. This should help cap the fall in XAG/USD near the 100-day SMA, currently around the $23.35 zone. That being said, a convincing break below this region will expose the $23.00 level. This is followed by the monthly low for May, around the $22.70-$22.65 zone, which if broken decisively will nullify any positive outlook and turn the trend back in favor of the bears.

silver daily chart

fxoriginal

Silver additional technical levels

XAG/USD

Overview
Last price today 23.89
daily change today 0.01
today’s daily variation 0.04
today’s daily opening 23.88
Trends
daily SMA20 23.97
daily SMA50 24.44
daily SMA100 23.36
daily SMA200 22.1
levels
previous daily high 23.92
previous daily low 23.28
Previous Weekly High 23.92
previous weekly low 22.68
Previous Monthly High 26.14
Previous monthly minimum 22.68
Fibonacci daily 38.2 23.68
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 23.53
Daily Pivot Point S1 23.47
Daily Pivot Point S2 23.05
Daily Pivot Point S3 22.82
Daily Pivot Point R1 24.11
Daily Pivot Point R2 24.34
Daily Pivot Point R3 24.75

Source: Fx Street

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