Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD Struggles to Consolidate Modest Gains Below 200 Hourly SMA

  • Silver struggles to capitalize on a modest rally and fails near the breakout of $23.80 support.
  • The mixed technical setup warrants some caution before making aggressive directional bets.
  • A sustained move beyond the $24.50 zone is needed to negate any short-term negative outlook.

the silver is supported by Friday’s modest bounce from the $23.30 zone and gains some positive traction on the first day of a new week. However, the white metal fails to capitalize on its strength and remains capped near the breakout of the $23.70-$23.80 confluence support, which comprises the 200 hourly SMA and the lower end of a short-term rising channel. .

From a technical standpoint, last week’s break below the mentioned confluence support suggests that the near-term trend may have already turned in favor of the bears. That being said, the oscillators on the daily/hourly charts, although they have been losing momentum, still do not confirm the negative outlook. This, in turn, warrants some caution before positioning for any further depreciation moves.

Meanwhile, the low around $23.30 looks like immediate support. A convincing break below will leave XAG/USD vulnerable to weakening below the $23.00 signal and testing the next relevant support near the $22.75 zone. The bearish trajectory could eventually drag the white metal towards the intermediate support of $22.20-$22.15 on the way to the round figure of $22.00.

On the flip side, momentum beyond the support-turned-resistance at $23.70-$23.80 could face a hurdle near the $24.00 signal. This is followed by last week’s high, around the $24.30 region, and the $24.50-$24.55 supply zone, or a multi-month high hit on January 3rd. If it holds above, XAG/USD could retrace the psychological signal of $25.00 for the first time since April 2022.

Silver 1 hour chart

fxoriginal

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Last price today 23.7
daily change today 0.14
today’s daily variation 0.59
today’s daily opening 23.56
Trends
daily SMA20 23.77
daily SMA50 23.21
daily SMA100 21.49
daily SMA200 21.01
levels
previous daily high 24.01
previous daily low 23.3
Previous Weekly High 24.3
previous weekly low 22.76
Previous Monthly High 24.3
Previous monthly minimum 22.03
Fibonacci daily 38.2 23.57
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 23.74
Daily Pivot Point S1 23.24
Daily Pivot Point S2 22.92
Daily Pivot Point S3 22.53
Daily Pivot Point R1 23.95
Daily Pivot Point R2 24.33
Daily Pivot Point R3 24.66

Source: Fx Street

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