Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD Turns Vulnerable Below $23.55 Confluence Support

  • The silver price remains under some selling pressure for the second day in a row on Monday.
  • The intraday break below the confluence of $23.55 supports the prospect of further losses.
  • Sustained strength above the $24.00 level is needed to counter the negative outlook.

Silver (XAG/USD) price extends Friday’s rejection slide from the $24.00 level, or the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the decline witnessed in May, and declines for the second day in a row. The white metal holds its selling tone, just below the $23.50 level during the European session on Monday, and looks vulnerable to weakening further.

From a technical perspective, the intraday decline drags XAG/USD below the confluence support at $23.55, which comprises the 23.6% Fibonacci and the 4-hour 100 simple moving average (SMA). Furthermore, the bearish oscillators on the daily and 4-hour charts reinforce the negative outlook and support the prospects for a further intraday bearish move.

Therefore, a further slide, towards testing the $23.00 round level, looks like a clear possibility. A bit of continuation selling will expose the $22.70-$22.65 region, a two-month low hit in May, below which XAG/USD could eventually drop to the $22.00 level. This last zone represents the important 200-day SMA and should act as a turning point.

On the other hand, sustained strength above the breakout of the $23.55 confluence support could allow XAG/USD to make another attempt to conquer the $24.00 level. This is closely followed by horizontal resistance at $24.15-$24.20, above which momentum could push the commodity towards the 50% Fibonacci around the $24.45-$24.50 region.

Eventually, XAG/USD could rally to the $24.80 zone, or 61.8% Fibonacci, and try to recapture the psychological $25.00 level for the first time since May 11. The upside trajectory could extend further towards the $25.30-$25.35 resistance zone en route to the $26.00 round level and a 1-year high around the $26.10-$26.15 area hit in May.

Silver 4 hour chart

fxoriginal

Silver additional technical levels

XAG/USD

Overview
Last price today 23.4
daily change today -0.21
today’s daily variation -0.89
today’s daily opening 23.61
Trends
daily SMA20 23.86
daily SMA50 24.45
daily SMA100 23.36
daily SMA200 22.12
levels
previous daily high 24.02
previous daily low 23.58
Previous Weekly High 24.02
previous weekly low 22.93
Previous Monthly High 26.14
Previous monthly minimum 22.68
Fibonacci daily 38.2 23.75
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 23.85
Daily Pivot Point S1 23.45
Daily Pivot Point S2 23.3
Daily Pivot Point S3 23.01
Daily Pivot Point R1 23.9
Daily Pivot Point R2 24.18
Daily Pivot Point R3 24.34

Source: Fx Street

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