Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD with modest losses below $23.00, remains vulnerable

  • The price of Silver is struggling to take advantage of Friday's rebound from around $22.00.
  • Neutral oscillators on the daily chart warrant some caution before opening directional positions.
  • Sustained strength above the 200-day SMA will shift the bias in favor of the bulls.

The price of Silver (XAG/USD) meets fresh selling on the first day of a new week and gives back a significant portion of Friday's recovery gains from more than a one-week low. The white metal maintains its selling tone around the $22.85-$22.80 area during the first half of the European session and appears vulnerable to prolonging its recent decline witnessed over the last week or so.

From a technical standpoint, the recent failure to find acceptance above the important and significant 200-day SMA and subsequent decline validate the negative near-term outlook for XAG/USD. That said, the oscillators on the daily chart are not yet confirming a bearish trend, so it is prudent to wait for some follow-through selling to occur before positioning for any further short-term depreciation moves.

Meanwhile, Friday's low around $22.00 could continue to protect the immediate decline ahead of horizontal support at $22.30. The next relevant support is near the $21.90-$21.85 area, or the two-month low reached in January. A convincing break below this last level will be seen as a new trigger for the bears and has the potential to drag XAG/USD towards the test of the $21.40-$21.35 support zone.

On the opposite side, the round $23.00 level seems to have emerged as an immediate hurdle, which if cleared could trigger a short-covering rally and lift XAG/USD to the 200-day SMA, currently near the $23.30. Below is the monthly high, around $23.50. Sustained strength beyond this last level will negate the negative outlook and allow XAG/USD to once again aim to reclaim the round $24.00 level.

The momentum could extend towards the $24.50-$24.60 zone, above which the white metal could reach the psychological level of $25.00.

Daily Silver Price Chart

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XAG/USD additional technical levels

Overview
Latest price today 22.84
Today Daily variation -0.11
Today's daily variation -0.48
Today's daily opening 22.95
Trends
daily SMA20 22.76
daily SMA50 23.09
SMA100 daily 23.2
SMA200 Journal 23.29
Levels
Previous daily high 23
Previous daily low 22.56
Previous weekly high 23.46
Previous weekly low 22.56
Previous Monthly High 24.09
Previous monthly low 21.93
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 22.83
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 22.73
Daily Pivot Point S1 22.68
Daily Pivot Point S2 22.4
Daily Pivot Point S3 22.24
Daily Pivot Point R1 23.12
Daily Pivot Point R2 23.28
Daily Pivot Point R3 23.56

Source: Fx Street

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