SOS for Macron: Marin Lepen ‘scissors’ the difference

The results of the latest polls in France are sounding the alarm for Emanuel Macron. According to a rolling poll on behalf of the BFM television station, which saw the light of day today, yes, Macron will prevail in the second round if his opponent is, as everything shows, Marin Lepen, but the difference between them is now shrink to five percentage points, ie smaller than ever. In the second round, which will take place on March 24, Emanuel Macron appears to have 52.5% of the vote against 47.5% of Marin Lepen. Two weeks ago, the same company’s poll for the same TV station showed Macron at 59.5% compared to Lepen at 40.5%.

In the first round on April 10, Macron appears to garner 28% of the electorate, the far-right Lepen 21%, and the radical Left Melanson 15.5% , the nationalist Zemour 10.5% and the neo-Golic Percres 9.5%. From there on, the Ecologists receive 4% of the Communist Party of France 2.5%, the former state Socialist Party 2%, two parties that move to the far right about 5% and two parties that move to the far left about 2% %. In other words, in the first round, the candidates of the parties that are placed to the right of Macron’s party collectively collect about 46% and the candidates of the parties that are placed to the left, about 26%.

Political analysts believe that Macron’s decline in the polls is due to two main reasons. The first is that in essence – and unlike Lepen – Macron has not campaigned, focusing mainly on Ukrainian. The second reason is that with the appearance of the nationalist Zemour on the French political scene, Le Pen gives a more modest picture, compared to the past. Something that, as the polls show, facilitates the shift of votes to it not only from the center-right, but even from the Left.