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S&P 500 Index: Range is wide for 2023, between 3,800 and 4,500 — BNY Mellon

2022 was a volatile year for stocks. BNY Mellon economists they expect the S&P 500 index to remain under pressure before starting to rise.

More pain than gain in stocks

“We don’t expect stocks to bottom out until the market faces a recession and Wall Street’s consensus 2023 EPS estimate falls further. At $232, the consensus EPS estimate is considerably higher than our estimate of $205 to $215, reflecting the weakening economy.”

“Our range is wide for 2023 for the S&P 500, between 3,800 and 4,500, reflecting the considerable macro uncertainty ahead.”

“Although the market is unlikely to have a V-shaped recovery, given the prospects for rising rates and continued inflation in the coming years, we do expect returns to be positive in 2023.”

Source: Fx Street

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