S&P 500 stops its losses and points to a new test of 3,800 before the Fed

  • US stocks rise ahead of monetary policy decisions from the Federal Reserve, which is expected to raise its rates by 75 basis points.
  • The Nasdaq Composite leads the gains, followed by the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones.
  • The dollar index falls, weighed down by lower US Treasury yields.

US equities recovered some ground after a five-day run of losses and gain between 1.05% and 1.54% on Wednesday as investors await the Fed’s monetary policy decision, with most estimates pointing to to a rate hike of 75 basis points.

Risk appetite increased, but for how long?

The S&P 500 rises 1.12% and stands at 3,776.07 points, followed closely by the Nasdaq Composite technology index, which rises 1.31% and stands at 11,459.56 points. At the bottom of the table is the Dow Jones Industrial Average, up 0.95% and standing at 30,654.16 points.

US retail sales posted their first drop in five months, down 0.3% mom; Excluding cars and gasoline, they were up 0.1%. It should be noted that the April figures were revised down, but remained positive. Meanwhile, if the figures are compared in annual terms, retail sales increased to 8.1%, up from 7.8% in April.

Meanwhile, the dollar index retreats from a 20-year high and stands at 105.318, shedding 0.15%. US Treasury yields remain high, but have come down. The 10-year note stands at 3,398%, down eight basis points.

Market sentiment is positive but remains fragile. Although Wall Street has adjusted its forecasts to 75 basis points, some voices suggest that the Fed would have to move 1% in order to restore the “credibility” of the central bank. However, such a large move would sour the mood, and equities could continue to slide lower.

In terms of specific sectors, the main gainers are Consumer Discretionary, up 1.75%, followed by Real Estate and Technology, which post gains of 1.34% and 1.27%, respectively. The main losers are Energy, Materials and Consumer Goods, which lose 1.45%, 0.05% and 0.01% each.

In the commodity complex, US benchmark oil WTI loses 0.94%, trading at $117.90 BPD, while precious metals like gold (XAU/USD) gain 0.70%, changing hands to $1,820.86 a troy ounce as US Treasury yields fall ahead of FOMC decision.

S&P 500 Daily Chart

Technical Levels

SP500

Panorama
Last Price Today 3766.31
Today’s Daily Change 29.82
Today’s Daily Change % 0.80
Today’s Daily Opening 3736.49
Trends
20 Daily SMA 4015.78
50 Daily SMA 4154.16
100 Daily SMA 4284.65
200 Daily SMA 4430.63
levels
Previous Daily High 3803.45
Previous Daily Minimum 3704.59
Previous Maximum Weekly 4167.12
Previous Weekly Minimum 3897.53
Monthly Prior Maximum 4305.91
Previous Monthly Minimum 3809.41
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 3742.35
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 3765.69
Daily Pivot Point S1 3692.9
Daily Pivot Point S2 3649.32
Daily Pivot Point S3 3594.04
Daily Pivot Point R1 3791.76
Daily Pivot Point R2 3847.04
Daily Pivot Point R3 3890.62

Source: Fx Street

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