The Unctad (United Nations Conference on Trade and Development) predicts a slowdown in global trade after a record US$ 28.5 trillion in 2021. For the chief economist of Infinity Asset, Jason Vieira, the slowdown is expected, but the Growth forecast involves other regional factors.
“The numbers are more of a statistical settlement than anything else. They present data at a global level, but regionally they may not translate. There are indicators that the United States performed well and also that Brazil did not perform poorly,” she explained.
The slowdown is precisely because of the overcoming of the critical moment of the pandemic, according to Jason. The moment is now for a reversal of the situation: if before it came from contraction to expansion, what is happening is a reduction within this more normalized scenario.
“What will happen from now on is more complicated to reach a conclusion, both for the positive and the negative side”, he pondered. Unlike other colleagues, the economist said he had a slightly more positive outlook in terms of growth.
According to him, among the items is the injection of resources in an election year, concession contracts last year that are about to be carried out and also agribusiness, which has growth prospects.
Source: CNN Brasil
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