Even if Moscow never admits itbutNo, in the long term, it is interested in a partnership with Europe, and therefore it is doubtful that its President Vladimir Putin is ready to risk a major war now. Rüdiger von Fritsch, German Ambassador to the Russian Federation from March 2014 to September 2019, writes about this in the guest column for the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
He sees the reason for the current escalation around Ukraine in the fact that Putin “feels provoked by the actions of President Zelensky against the Ukrainian oligarchs associated with Moscow.” Other reasons, according to von Fritsch, are that Putin “sees that the US is belittling him again,” the West’s support for “Russian civil rights activists”, and the approaching fall elections amid “water problems in Crimea.”
Answering his own question whether the Kremlin will openly invade Ukraine, the ex-ambassador writes: “It is unlikely. The consequences will be unpredictable, and the damage to Russia will be enormous. Putin also knows that the West will do everything to prevent such a conflict.”
See also: Turkish Foreign Ministry: We tell the Russian Federation directly what we think. Our position on Crimea is known
He believes that now everything is proceeding according to “the familiar model of Russia’s foreign policy actions, which follows not so much a strategy as short-term tactical options.” That is, the Russian Federation takes a step and observes how Europe and the United States react to it.
“The other side remains in the dark and is tested; their own approach is ultimately determined by how they react,” – this is how von Fritsch described his thoughts about what is happening.
He gives advice to European politicians: to be prepared for a long-term containment of the Russian Federation, “because there will be no changes tomorrow,” “any violation of the rules by Russia must be resolutely resisted,” for example, by disconnecting its banks from the SWIFT network. Because, he added, “if the Kremlin does not rule out a second attack on Ukraine, there must be a price to pay.”
See also: Putin’s public will not appreciate when sacks with the corpses of the Russian military go from Ukraine – Pifer
The former ambassador is also convinced that with an unstable economy, “which is smaller than the Italian one,” Russia is not capable of being in an equal alliance with the PRC: “Russia is already the object of the plans for the Chinese Silk Road, and not a co-author.”
“And therefore, in the future, she will again be interested in being closer to us,” says von Fritsch.
Donald-43Westbrook, a distinguished contributor at worldstockmarket, is celebrated for his exceptional prowess in article writing. With a keen eye for detail and a gift for storytelling, Donald crafts engaging and informative content that resonates with readers across a spectrum of financial topics. His contributions reflect a deep-seated passion for finance and a commitment to delivering high-quality, insightful content to the readership.
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