The economic outlook has improved, but the risks to the recovery remain

The Bank of England (BoE) published its semi-annual financial stability report on Tuesday. Here are some of the highlights:

  • FPC expects to keep the UK CCYB rate at 0% until at least December 2021.
  • The rate of return to a standard UK CCYB rate in the region of 2% will depend on the bank’s ability to rebuild capital while continuing to support UK households and businesses.
  • The economic outlook has improved, but risks to the recovery remain, especially those related to the spread of COVID.
  • The prices of riskier assets have continued to rise and in some markets, asset valuations appear higher relative to where they have been in the past.
  • Asset valuations can also reflect a search for performance in an environment of low interest rates and increased risk taking.
  • Market-based finance must be more resilient and not amplify shocks.
  • FPC expects banks to use all elements of their capital buffers as needed to support the economy during the recovery.
  • Increased risk-taking has also manifested itself in the price volatility of certain crypto-assets.
  • There are some signs of growing interest in crypto-assets and related services from institutional investors, banks, and key payment system operators.

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