This entry is posted on number 37 of Vanity Fair on newsstands until 9 September 2025.
There France Enter a phase of further instability: François Bayrou He chooses to be hunted by the Hôtel de Matignon, the prime minister’s building. With the 2026 budget to be closed and in the name of the autoproclaved mission of cutting debt, public spending and days of holidays to the French, Bayrou asked for a vote of trust from Parliament – convened in an extraordinary session on September 8 – knowing to lose it.
“All political fields – even Emmanuel Macron himself – already think after Bayrou”, assures me Abel Mestrepolitical journalist of Mondi: “Unimaginable that the premier resists the vote.”
In the past the socialists have saved himat the cost of shattering the Ecologist Left Union, the Nouveau Front Populaire who had arrived in the lead in the parliamentary elections of 2024. But Bayrou’s promise – reopen the pension reform construction site – has confirmed a farce. “This time,” says Mestre, “for the socialists it would be too risky politically supporting a weak premier.”
The left of France Insoumise, with the ecologists, has contested Bayrou for some time. The Lepenta Rispmblement National does not intend to save him. What passes through Bayrou’s mind? The calendar. There is the date of September 10th Wing in red: the yellow vests come back, even if this time they are red. The event organized online and supported byInsoumis Jean-Luc Mélenchon It has a name that is a program: “Bloquons Tout», We block everything.
For September 18, the unions have called a strike. Seven out of ten French do not want Bayrou to stay; as many ask that Macron leaves the Elisha. Dissatisfaction grows, other elections approach, political fields reconfigure: the presidential elections in 2027, meanwhile the administrative in March 2026.
In addition to the dates, it is the calendar itself that weighs: Macron melted the Parliament in the summer of 2024, the Constitution blocks another dissolution before a year, but we are already beyond. Bayrou prefers to prepare a triumphal exit inside the mantle of the debt cut, of the misunderstood Salvator.
A tragic heroif it were not that there is little heroic, and what remains is grotesque: while it invokes cuts, the premier makes 40 thousand euros spent to renew his office as mayor of Pau (he did not resign). He dreams of the Elisee (still) but stumbles on his feet, like when, to contest the “Zucman tax” on the super rich, it fears “tax nomadism” and says: “Italy makes a tax dumping policy», Irritating Palazzo Chigi.
The French premier wrote one Biography of Henry IVvenerated because he put an end to the religious wars, but since he ruled, under the ash Ribolle France. Macron started playing with fire, destabilizing the picture: In 2024 he dissolved the assemblycalled a vote and refused to accept the result (the field on the left was the most voted); He preferred to appoint Barnier or Bayrou, minority figures but compatible with macronism and with the plan to wink a bit in Le Pen, a little to the socialists.
Now Bayrou accuses the left of “sow chaos”but can he swear that he and Macron have not contributed? The king is naked, and Enrico is not the great.
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Source: Vanity Fair

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