The Japanese yen stops in the decline drop on Tuesday from the maximum of a week against the dollar

  • The Japanese Yen attracts some buyers after reaching a weekly minimum during the Asian session.
  • An upward review of the Japan Services PMIs the bets for an increase in Boj rates and supports the JPY.
  • Sure shelter purchases further benefit from the JPY and weigh on the USD/JPY in the middle of a weaker USD.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) attracts some Buyers Intradía after a decrease in the Asian session against his American counterpart and, for now, seems to have stopped his setback from a maximum of a week reached the previous day. An upward review of the PMI of services of Japan, together with the expectations that the highest wages will boost inflation, keeps the door open for another increase in interest rates by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) in 2025. Apart from this, the persistent geopolitical risks and commercial uncertainties turn out to be key factors that support the JPY.

Meanwhile, the caution comments of the governor of the Boj, Kazuo Ueda, on Tuesday fed speculation that the next increase in rates will not arrive soon. However, this still marks a great divergence compared to the expectations that the Federal Reserve (FED) would make at least two cuts of 25 basic points (PB) by the end of this year. This, together with the US fiscal concerns, promotes new US dollar sales (USD), after the moderate rebound on Tuesday from a minimum of six weeks, and exerts some pressure on the USD/JPY pair during the Asian session.

The Japanese yen wins upward traction in reaction to the PMI of slightly positive services

  • A private sector survey showed on Wednesday that the growth in the activity of the Japan services sector slowed down than estimated in May. The Final Index of Purchasing Managers (PMI) of services of Au Jibun Bank Japan was reviewed of a preliminary reading of 50.8 to 51.0. This was below the final impression of the previous month of 52.4, although he pointed out a second consecutive expansion in the service activity.
  • The data maintain the hopes of another rate increase by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) during the second half of the year and provide a slight impulse to the Japanese and asian session. Meanwhile, the governor of the Boj, Kazuo Ueda, sounded cautious on Tuesday and said in Parliament that uncertainties about commercial policies abroad, the economic and pricing situation remain extremely high.
  • Ueda added that there is no pre -established plan for fees increases and that it will not press due to higher interest rates unless the economy is strong enough to support it. In addition, the reports that Japan’s Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba could dissolve the Parliament for an early election if the main opposition party presents a motion of censure, could limit any additional gain for the JPY.
  • The US dollar struggles to capitalize on the recovery of the previous day from the lowest level since April 22 amid the growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will further reduce indebted costs by the end of this year. In addition, concerns about the worsening of the US fiscal situation and the economic repercussions of commercial tariffs keep the bulls of the defensive USD.
  • The increase in the import tariffs of steel and aluminum from 25% to 50% will be effective from Wednesday. Meanwhile, several White House officials said in recent days that US president Donald Trump, and Chinese President Xi Jinping, will have a call this week, probably on Friday, which could help revitalize trade negotiations between the two largest economies in the world.
  • In the Front of Economic Data, the US Labor Statistics Office (BLS) reported in the job and labor rotation opening survey (Jolts) on Tuesday that the number of vacancies on the last business day of April stood at 7.39 million. This reading followed the 7.2 million vacancies recorded in March and exceeded the expectation of the market of 7.1 million.
  • The operators now expect the publication of the ADP report on employment in the US private sector to obtain an impulse in the prelude to the US Non -Agricultural Payroll Report (NFP) on Friday. The US economic agenda on Wednesday also includes the publication of the ISM services PMI, which should influence the USD price dynamics and provide a short -term impulse to the USD/JPY torque.

USD/JPY struggles to find acceptance above 200 periods in H4; Support in 143.00 is key to bulls

The technical indicators in the daily chart have been recovering and just started gaining positive traction in the 4 -hour graph. This, in turn, favors the bulls of the USD/JPY, although an intradic failure to find acceptance above the simple mobile average (SMA) of 200 periods justifies a certain caution. Therefore, it will be prudent to wait for a shopping follow -up beyond the peak of the Asian session, around the 144.30 area before positioning for any additional upward movement. Cash prices could then aspire to recover the psychological brand of 145.00, with some intermediate obstacle near the region of 144.75-144.80.

On the contrary, the area of ​​143.50-143.45 seems to act as immediate support, below which the USD/JPY torque could slide towards the round figure of 143.00. The sale would continue to drag cash prices towards the region of 142.40-142.35, or the weekly minimum established on Tuesday, en route to the 142.10 area, or the monthly minimum of May reached last week.

Economic indicator

Jibun Bank services PMI

The index of purchase managers (PMI) services published by Markit Economics Capture business conditions in the service sector. PMI is an important indicator of economic conditions in Japan. A reading of more than 50 points indicates an expansion in the economic activity of the JPY, while a reading of less than 50 points implies a decrease in activity.


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Last publication:
MIÉ JUN 04, 2025 00:30

Frequency:
Monthly

Current:
51

Dear:
50.8

Previous:
50.8

Fountain:

S&P global

Source: Fx Street

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