The danger of transmitting a breath of excitement to jihadists all over the world brings to the fore the victory of the Taliban in Afghanistan.
All over the world, fighters of the jihadist-Salafist movement, most of whom belong to al-Qaeda or Islamic State, can only attest to the success of the Afghan “theology students” who are still in power in Kabul twenty years after their expulsion.
“It simply came to our notice then. “It makes them believe they can drive out a foreign power, even a major foreign power like the United States,” said Colin Clark of the Soufan Center in New York.
“What I expect is a heavy bombardment of propaganda culminating in the 20th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks. This will boost the morale of the jihadists, from North Africa to Southeast Asia.
The case of Afghanistan is unparalleled anywhere in the world, because active Islamist movements do not fight against foreign powers. The example of Sahel, where France recently announced the withdrawal of part of its military forces and their replacement by European special forces after an eight-year presence, is very different from the Afghan case.
But his conquest Afghanistan “From the Taliban, it is something that will steer jihadists everywhere,” said Ayman Jawad al-Tamimi, a researcher on the extremism program at George Washington University in the United States.
“The resistance of the peoples”
The Taliban were not content to let the situation get worse. Continuing the war, they negotiated with the Americans and the Afghan government and advanced their pawns with the local militias, factions and tribes, the material that makes up the Afghan mosaic.
But on a symbolic level, their triumph will convince jihadists everywhere that “if they continue to fight, their opponents will eventually collapse,” says the Iraqi researcher.
The last days, social networks are full of propaganda material coming from the jihadist sphere.
For Hamas, the developments in Afghanistan “prove that the resistance of the peoples, led by the Palestinian people of the Mujahideen, will ultimately bring victory and success to the goals of freedom and return, with the permission of Allah.”
Al-Thabat, its propaganda service Al Qaeda“Muslims and Mujahideen of Pakistan, Kashmir, Yemen, Syria, Gaza, Somalia and Mali are celebrating the liberation of Afghanistan and the implementation of Sharia,” he said.
From the point of view of the Islamic State, the issue is more thorny. When al-Qaeda declared its allegiance to the Taliban, the Islamic State branded them insurgents. In Afghanistan, the hatred is so intense that the Islamic State organization in Khorasan (ISKP) was founded by separatist Taliban.
However, the Islamic State is also benefiting from the collapse of the Afghan state. “Dr. Q “, a Western expert on the Islamic State who publishes his studies under this pseudonym on Twitter, states that the Islamic State in Khorasan launched 216 attacks between January 1 and August 11, compared to only 34 last year during the same period.
Iraq, 2011
“This makes Afghanistan one of the most dynamic provinces of the Islamic State. “Everything is not connected with the American withdrawal, but the victory of the Taliban gives air to the sails of the Islamic State in Khorasan,” said Ayman Jawad Al-Tamimi.
In addition to fratricidal disputes, he points to the convergence of goals. «Islamic State systematically reiterates that Westerners can not stay in a foreign land forever and, in that sense, the victory of the Taliban legitimizes their slogan.
Colin Clark, for his part, recalls that chaos and war are fundamental elements of the evolution of any jihadist organization, whatever its orientation. “The collapse of the Afghan army is a reminder of what we saw in Iraq in 2011. I am afraid that the same situation will be repeated in Afghanistan, with the simultaneous development of the Islamic State and the resurgence of Al Qaeda.
This is perhaps the Taliban’s biggest lesson to the global jihadist sphere: patience and determination can lead to triumph, whoever the enemy is. A lesson that gives impetus to all local movements, opponents or allies of the young gentlemen of Kabul.
“For many of the organizations with a local agenda, the Taliban is an archetype of the good implementation of this strategy,” said Charles Lister, a Middle East Institute researcher.
Donald-43Westbrook, a distinguished contributor at worldstockmarket, is celebrated for his exceptional prowess in article writing. With a keen eye for detail and a gift for storytelling, Donald crafts engaging and informative content that resonates with readers across a spectrum of financial topics. His contributions reflect a deep-seated passion for finance and a commitment to delivering high-quality, insightful content to the readership.
