The US dollar weakens against commodities and strengthens against safe haven assets – BBH

The US dollar (USD) shows divergent behavior against its counterparts depending on its risk profile, according to BBH strategists.

While it mainly falls against commodity currencies due to improving global growth prospects, it rises against safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese Yen (JPY) and the Swiss Franc (CHF).

Tale of two dollars

“The USD is under bearish pressure especially against commodity-sensitive currencies. NOK, SEK, AUD and NZD are the top performing major currencies against the USD this week. China's modest cyclical recovery and improving momentum growth in the global manufacturing sector (the global manufacturing PMI hit a 20-month high of 50.6 in March) bodes well for the commodities complex.”

“USD remains firm against low-yielding currencies (JPY and CHF) underpinned by elevated US Treasury yields.”

“The slowdown in US service sector growth in March has kept the odds of a Fed rate cut in June (over 60%) and dampened the overall strength of the USD.”

Source: Fx Street

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