Significant lead of the candidate of the Turkish opposition Kemal Kilicdaroglu against the Turkish President, Recep Tayyip Erdoganin the May 14 presidential election, the latest polls show.
Polls, conducted in the first 24 hours after the announcement of Kilicdaroglu’s candidacy, also show that the opposition bloc, the National Allianceleads the parliamentary elections by more than 6 percentage points of the governor Justice and Development Party (AKP) and its allies.
The pro-Kurdish Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP)which is estimated to be able to play the critical role of regulator, secures a percentage of 10%.
Erdogan seems to be facing her the most serious challenge to his authority to date of his 20-year rule, with his popularity waning mainly due to the long cost-of-living crisis. On the contrary, earthquakes do not seem to have major effects, as close to 35% of citizens blame the disasters on the government. 26.9% blame the contractors. Municipal authorities come third with around 15%, while 13% answer “all”.
It is recalled that in the upcoming elections, Turkish citizens are asked to decide not only on the President of the country, but also on the composition of the parliament. Wolfango Piccoli, political risk analyst at Teneo, says the National Alliance needs to present a united front and offer voters a plan to maintain momentum leading into the election.
“Simply blaming all of Turkey’s wrongdoings on Erdogan will not solve the problems. Previous election contests have shown that Erdogan is keen on the election campaign, but the latest data shows that he has lost his popular appeal and his ability to reach voters,” he noted, speaking to Reuters.
Percentages based on polls
Poll published by Aksoy Research on Saturday and held on March 8 showed Kilicdaroglu, who was named the joint candidate of the Turkish opposition on March 6, securing 55.6% of the vote to Erdogan’s 44.4%.
It also shows the opposition bloc securing 44.1% of the vote and the HDP 10.3%. The AKP together with the MHP secured 38.2% of the vote.
Poll conducted on March 6 and 7 by Alf Research showed Kilicdaroglu with 55.1% and Erdogan with 44.9%. Kilicdaroglu’s People’s Democratic Party (CHP) is the most popular with 31.8% of the vote, while the AKP is limited to 31%.
According to the same poll, the National Alliance secured 43.5% of the vote, while the HDP secured 11.3% and the AKP together with the MHP secured 37.5% of the vote.
Poll of Peer Research showed Kilicdaroglu as the winner with 57.1%, with Erdogan limited to 42.9%. The CHP secured 32.3%, the AKP 30.8% and the HDP 11.6%. The National Alliance secures 46.4%, while AKP and MHP 37.8%, according to the poll published on March 10.
Poll of ORC Research it shows Kilicdaroglu at 56.8% and Erdogan at 43.2%. The poll was held March 4-6, before the CHP leader was named the opposition bloc’s joint presidential candidate.
Merve Tahiroglu, director of the Turkey program at the Project on Middle East Democracy in Washington, says the diversity of the opposition alliance means that each leading figure in the bloc can appeal to and appeal to a different part of Turkey. “At this particular moment we have more reason to be optimistic about a Turkish election outcome in favor of the opposition than we have been in the last 20 years,” he said, speaking at a panel at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.
Source: News Beast
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