Her proposal for his termination war in Ukraine testified the chinaat a time when the scenarios for arms supply from Beijing to Russia have flared up, possibly also underground, through third parties. The West welcomed me serious reservations and concerns the Chinese intervention, while the Ukrainian President attempted an opening – friendship in China. However, and in spite of Beijing wishes to appear as a neutral actor seeking a peace agreement, of course has chosen to stand – albeit cautiously – on Moscow’s side.
In 12 point document released, the Chinese government called on Russia and Ukraine to resume peace talks, criticizing NATO and the West for their role in the conflict and opposing sanctions against Russia.
Beijing has expressed strong concerns that the war is “escalating” and risks “getting out of control”. Seeking to officially maintain its neutralityChina appeals in the text to respect the national sovereignty of all states, including Ukraine, while at the same time asking the international community to take into account Moscow’s concerns about its security and the defense of its interests.
China publicly neither supports nor condemns the Russian attack, but has repeatedly expressed its support for Moscow on the issue of sanctions. The war in Ukraine requires particularly delicate handling by Beijinggiven the strong diplomatic and economic ties it has developed in recent years with Moscow, in the context of their common interests as a counterweight to US global dominance, but also the particularly close commercial relations it maintains with the West, as an international economic giant.
US-China diplomatic relations may be at their worst level in two decades, but trade relations remain particularly close, as they do with Europe. Beijing’s formal abandonment of neutrality would automatically trigger sanctions and disruption of economic – commercial ties, an extremely difficult decision for all parties.
In the present phase Chinese President Xi Jinping seems to be moving with relative confidence in the global geopolitical chessboard, however analysts estimate that the stance of neutrality will be increasingly difficult to maintain as time goes on. THE visit of the top Chinese diplomat, Wang Yi to Moscowa few 24 hours before anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukrainereinforced this position. And Beijing was aware of the symbolism of this visit, especially when it was accompanied by information about an imminent meeting of the Russian President with his Chinese counterpart.
The question that now arises is what attitude will Beijing take if Vladimir Putin is faced with a humiliating defeat on the battlefield. Researchers in the US, as noted by the BBC, estimate that Beijing is already supplying Russia with dual-use equipment. That is, it appears as a technology for civilian use, but it can also be used in the military sector.
Despite official denials from Beijing, US and European officials claim and warn that China is considering sending weapons to Russia for the war in Ukrainewhile the Spiegel in its publication reported that Beijing is allegedly preparing for it large-scale production of “kamikaze” unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) on behalf ofof the Russian army, for use probably on war in UkraineIt is recalled that China was one of the first countries to rush to buy Russian oil and natural gas in order to make up for the losses suffered by Moscow from Western sanctions.
As the BBC notes in its analysis, the Kremlin, in some ways, could be said to be doing the dirty work for China. It drains Western military resources and puts pressure on NATO. Russia’s economic problems are of little concern to Beijing at this stage. It’s just that the Russians will need more Chinese capital and goods for post-war recovery.
China’s main problem is that the West appears at this stage quite united and at the same time Russia does not seem capable of winning the war alone. China is weighing its moves so as not to lose control and find itself in a situation it cannot endure, but the Western world in no way wants the Asian giant to become more involved in this war. Beijing’s attitude could be summed up by two Chinese proverbs: “Don’t light a fire you can’t put out” and “don’t be afraid if you move slowly. Be afraid if you stay still.”
Source: News Beast
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