United Kingdom: Manufacturing production increases 0.4% month-on-month in November compared to 0.3% expected

The UK industrial sector activity rebounded in Novemberaccording to the latest data published on Friday by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Manufacturing production rose 0.4% mom in November, up from 0.3% forecast and -1.2% in October, while total industrial production was 0.3% mom, up from 0.3% forecast and -1.3% previously.

UK annual manufacturing output rose 1.3% in November, below expectations of 1.7%. The annual industrial production fell 0.1% in the same period, compared to the estimated 0.7% growth and the previous -0.5%.

On the other hand, figures for the UK goods trade balance were published, which stood at -14,189 million pounds in November, compared to -15,700 million expected and -15,936 million previously. The total trade balance (excluding the EU) was -£2,838 million in November, up from -£3,919 million in October.

Pound Sterling FAQ

What is the Pound Sterling?

The British Pound (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded currency unit in the world, with 12% of all transactions and an average of $630 billion per day, according to 2022 data.

Its key currency pairs are GBP/USD, also known as “Cable”, which represents 11% of the forex market, GBP/JPY, or the “Dragon” as it is known to traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The pound sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE).

How do Bank of England decisions influence the Pound Sterling?

The most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is the monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The Bank of England bases its decisions on achieving its main objective of “price stability”, that is, a stable inflation rate of around 2%. Its main tool to achieve this is the adjustment of interest rates.

When inflation is too high, the Bank of England tries to contain it by raising interest rates, which makes access to credit more expensive for individuals and companies. This tends to be positive for the GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money.

When inflation is too low, it is a sign that economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to make credit cheaper, so that companies borrow more to invest in projects that generate growth.

How does economic data influence the value of the Pound?

The published data gauges the health of the economy and may influence the value of the Pound sterling. Indicators such as GDP, manufacturing and services PMIs, and employment can influence the direction of the Pound.

A strong economy is good for the British pound. Not only does it attract more foreign investment, but it may encourage the Bank of England to raise interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Pound. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the pound is likely to fall.

How does the trade balance affect the Pound?

Another significant data for the pound sterling is the trade balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports during a given period.

If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit exclusively from the additional demand created by foreign buyers wishing to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net trade balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.

Source: Fx Street

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