untitled design

US: IMF cuts 2022 GDP growth to 2.9%, says path to avoid recession is ‘narrowing’

US gross domestic product GDP is expected to grow 2.9% in 2022, down from its recent forecast of 3.7% in Aprilsaid IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva at an annual review of US economic policies over the weekend.

Additional comments

The US economy will grow 1.7% in 2023 and 0.8% in 2024. After contracting -3.4% in 2020, the US economy grew by 5.7% in 2021.

“Based on the median projection of the monetary policy rate published at the June meeting of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee), we expect the US economy to slow in 2022-23, but narrowly avoid a recession.”

“The expected slowdown in US demand, combined with the necessary tightening of financial conditions worldwide, has an important potential to negatively affect individuals, companies and countries that are leveraged in US dollars and/or facing significant short-term financing needs.”

“To bring inflation decisively back to the Fed’s 2% target by late 2023 or early 2024, it will be necessary to raise the policy rate above the neutral level, in ex ante real terms, and hold it for some time. Given the extent of the current inflation problem.”

Source: Fx Street

You may also like

Get the latest

Stay Informed: Get the Latest Updates and Insights

 

Most popular