US inflation expectations eased significantly in July amid a sharp drop in gasoline prices and growing confidence that sharp increases in food and housing will be contained going forward.
In particular, the New York Fed’s monthly Survey of Consumer Expectations showed that respondents expect inflation to run at a rate of 6.2% next year and 3.2% over the next three years.
While the numbers are still remarkably high relative to the year-on-year trend, they are still a big drop from the survey’s corresponding readings in June, at 6.8% and 3.6%.
Similarly, respondents see gasoline prices, which rose 60% last year, rising at a rate of just 1.5% next year, down from the 4.2% they expected in June, the second-biggest monthly decline on record. has been recorded in the research history.
At the same time, house prices are now expected to increase by 3.5% compared to the 4.4% that was forecast in June, with 3.5% being the lowest level of this forecast since November 2020.
Source: Capital

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