The reserve commander and professor of geopolitics at the Naval War College, Leonardo Mattos, offered an analysis of the tension between Israel and Iran during his participation in the program WW from the CNN .
Mattos argued that the United States was unlikely to support Israel in a large-scale attack against Iran.
According to the expert, Iran’s geographic and structural complexity makes a comprehensive attack extremely challenging.
“Iran is not just any country, it is a country with a structure, including Iran’s mountainous geography,” explained Mattos.
Challenges of a large-scale attack
Mattos highlighted the difficulty of carrying out a comprehensive attack against Iran, citing the vastness of the country and the diversity of potential targets: “There are several installations of the nuclear program, there are several Iranian military bases.”
He added that without the support of the United States, Israel would not have the military capacity to carry out such an operation.
The professor also warned about the possible consequences of a large-scale attack: “If we cannot identify a leadership within Iran that can replace the current Ali Khamenei regime, I think it is practically madness for the United States to enter together with Israel for a large-scale attack against Iran.”
Israel’s internal political situation
Mattos also addressed Israel’s delicate internal political situation, mentioning the protests against Netanyahu’s government and the fragility of his position after the events of October 7th.
“If it is done as happened in 73 with Golda Meir, the attack in October 73, Netanyahu will fall the next day,” he stated.
Despite ruling out a large-scale attack, the expert believes that Israel will certainly retaliate in some way.
However, he emphasized that the unpredictable nature of conflicts makes it difficult to predict exactly how the situation will unfold.
This content was originally published in USA would not join Israel in large-scale attack against Iran, professor tells CNN on the CNN Brasil website.
Source: CNN Brasil
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