USD/BRL to trade higher to 5.40 as political headwinds for the Real grow — ING

the brazilian real it has remained stable against the dollar. However, as ING economists report, the USD/BRL pair could rise as politicians could increase their pressure on the Brazilian central bank.

When politics and central banking collide

“Politicians are looking forward to the central bank starting to cut interest rates. However, in its most recent update, the central bank has warned that long-term inflation expectations are drifting further off target, which clearly contradicts calls for rate cuts.”

“With underlying rates this high, we doubt investors will have much patience for this type of friction and we would favor a further underperformance of the Real.”

“If politicians increase their pressure on the Brazilian central bank, USD/BRL could trade as high as 5.40.”

Source: Fx Street

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