USD/CAD approaches 1.2800 zone amid modest dollar weakness, attention remains on FOMC

  • USD/CAD is lower again on Wednesday amid the onset of fresh dollar selling.
  • The risk appetite boost turned out to be a key factor weighing on the greenback as a haven.
  • Falling oil prices could undermine the loonie and limit losses ahead of the FOMC.

The pair USD/CAD meets a new offer on Wednesday and continues to lose ground during the first half of the European session. The pair fell to a fresh daily low, around the 1.2850-1.2845 region in the last hour, reversing a major part of the overnight recovery gains from the lowest level since June 13.

The recovery in risk sentiment globally, reflected in a generally positive tone in equity markets, weighs on the safe-haven US dollar. This turns out to be a key factor acting as a headwind for the USD/CAD pair, although low oil prices could undermine the commodity-linked loonie and help limit losses.

The black liquid has so far struggled to gain significant traction amid concerns about a weaker demand outlook and an impending Federal Reserve rate hike. That said, overnight US inventory drawdown data largely offset negative factors and offered some support for the commodity, at least for now.

Investors, for their part, also seem to refrain from making aggressive bets, preferring instead to wait for the outcome of the FOMC’s two-day policy meeting. The Fed will announce its decision later in the US session and is expected to raise interest rates by 75 basis points. However, investors remain divided on the need for more aggressive policy tightening.

Therefore, the market’s attention will be focused on the accompanying monetary policy statement. Aside from this, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s comments at the post-meeting press conference could provide further clues to the near-term policy outlook. This will play a key role in influencing the USD price dynamics and providing a new directional boost to the USD/CAD pair.

Therefore, it would be wise to wait for a strong sell-off before traders begin to position themselves for another short-term depreciation move. Key event risk from the central bank, US durable goods orders data and sentiment surrounding oil prices could help traders take advantage of short-term opportunities around the USD pair. /CAD

Technical levels

USD/CAD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1.2853
Today’s Daily Change -0.0039
Today’s Daily Change % -0.30
Today’s Daily Opening 1.2892
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1.2946
50 Daily SMA 1.2857
100 Daily SMA 1.2776
200 Daily SMA 1.2717
levels
Previous Daily High 1.2901
Previous Daily Minimum 1.2816
Previous Maximum Weekly 1.3033
Previous Weekly Minimum 1.2822
Monthly Prior Maximum 1.3079
Previous Monthly Minimum 1.2518
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2869
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2849
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2838
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2784
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2753
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2923
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2955
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3008

Source: Fx Street

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