USD/CAD bounces from 10-week lows back towards 1.3350 amid USD volatility

  • US economic data includes more positive than negative surprises.
  • The dollar goes up, then down, and then bounces.
  • USD/CAD returns to previous range after falling to 1.3300.

The USD/CAD bounced strongly in the last few minutes, pared losses and broke above the key 1.3350 zone again. The dollar is volatile on Thursday after the US economic reports and in anticipation of the FOMC meeting next week.

Down, but…

US economic data beat expectations. The economy grew at an annual rate of 2.9% during the fourth quarter, above the 2.6% market consensus. GDP price indicators reported a slowdown greater than expected. Initial claims for jobless benefits fell to the lowest level since April 2022. The Chicago Fed National Activity Index rose in December to -0.49 from -0.51. Durable Goods Orders rebounded 5.6% in December against the market consensus of 2.5%.

The numbers strengthened the US dollar, which hit new all-time highs across the board. Crude oil prices and market sentiment also helped. The USD reversed its upward trend at the open on Wall Street. Over the past several hours, the US dollar has recovered most of the lost ground as US yields rose and optimism faded.

Volatility sentiment prevails keeping USD/CAD undecided. The pair fell to 1.3301, marking its lowest since mid-November, and then rose again to the 1.3355 zone. If it consolidates well below 1.3350 a retest of 1.3300 looks likely, while if it holds above the pair could continue to move in the 1.3350/1.3450 range.

On Wednesday, the Bank of Canada raised interest rates by 25 basis points, as expected, signaling it will pause the tightening cycle. The FOMC meeting will take place next week. The Fed is expected to raise rates by 25 basis points. Attention will be on clues about the future trajectory.

technical levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Last price today 1.3352
Today Change Daily -0.0033
today’s daily change -0.25
today’s daily opening 1.3385
Trends
daily SMA20 1.3455
daily SMA50 1.3504
daily SMA100 1,352
daily SMA200 1.3202
levels
previous daily high 1.3428
previous daily low 1,334
Previous Weekly High 1.3521
previous weekly low 1.3351
Previous Monthly High 1.3705
Previous monthly minimum 1.3385
Fibonacci daily 38.2 1.3394
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1.3374
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3341
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3296
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3253
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3429
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3472
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3517

Source: Fx Street

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