USD/CAD bounces off daily lows, below 1.3450 ahead of US data.

  • USD/CAD starts the new week with a weaker tone, although it shows resistance below 1.3400.
  • The recovery in oil prices is supporting the Loonie and putting some downward pressure on the pair.
  • A modest USD rebound from a multi-month low helps limit losses, at least for now.

The pair USD/CAD comes under strong selling pressure on Monday and falls to a 1-week low, though shows some resistance below 1.3400. However, the pair is trading in negative territory and now seems to have stabilized around the 1.3420-1.3425 area heading into the American session.

Crude Oil prices rise almost 2.5% on the first day of a new week as a reaction to OPEC+’s decision to cut production by 2 million barrels per day from November to 2023. In addition, positive signs of oil recovery Fuel demand in China, amid easing of strict COVID-19 restrictions, drive liquid black. This, in turn, supports the commodity-linked Loonie and puts some downward pressure on the USD/CAD pair.

However, the fall remains cushioned amid an intraday recovery of the dollar from its lowest level since the end of June, reached earlier this Monday. Concerns about a deeper global economic recession continue to weigh on investor sentiment, which is evident in a weaker tone around equity markets. This, coupled with a rally in US Treasury yields, offers some support for the safe-haven dollar.

The US monthly employment report (NFP) released on Friday and a surprise rise in wages point to a further increase in inflationary pressures. The data reaffirmed expectations that the US central bank will continue to tighten its monetary policy and validates Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s forecast that the maximum interest rate will be higher than expected. This, in turn, is seen as a tailwind for US bond yields.

That said, recent comments by several FOMC officials support the prospects for relatively minor rate hikes from the US central bank. This, in turn, discourages dollar bulls from making aggressive bets and should stop any significant rally in the USD/CAD pair. The ISM Services PMI for the US will be released next, which could weigh on the dollar and give trading a bit of a lift.

USD/CAD technical levels

Overview
Last price today 1.3426
today change daily -0.0039
today’s daily change -0.29
today’s daily opening 1.3465
Trends
daily SMA20 1.34
daily SMA50 1.3574
daily SMA100 1.3294
daily SMA200 1.3029
levels
previous daily high 1.3521
previous daily low 1.3421
Previous Weekly High 1.3646
previous weekly low 1.3381
Previous Monthly High 1.3808
Previous monthly minimum 1.3226
Daily Fibonacci of 38.2%. 1.3483
Daily Fibonacci of 61.8% 1.3459
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3417
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3369
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3316
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3517
Daily Pivot Point R2 1,357
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3618

Source: Fx Street

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