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USD/CAD clings to gains above 1.3700 after US and Canadian GDP data

  • USD/CAD regains positive traction on Thursday and moves little after US and Canadian macro data.
  • A modest rebound in crude oil prices underpins the loonie and acts as a headwind for the majors.
  • Rising US bond yields offer some dollar support and continue to support the supply tone.

The pair USD/CAD it is down a few points from the daily high and is currently sitting just above 1.3700, still up more than 0.80% on the day.

The US dollar trims a significant portion of its strong intraday gains and proves to be a key factor acting as a headwind for the USD/CAD pair. Aside from this, an intraday bounce in crude oil prices offers some support to the commodity-linked loonie and helps limit the pair’s upside.

That said, a combination of factors underpins the dollar and continues to support the supply tone surrounding the USD/CAD pair. Expectations that the Fed will maintain its aggressive tightening policy trigger a further rise in US Treasury yields. This, coupled with the risk aversion drive, benefits the dollar as a haven.

Market sentiment remains fragile amid concerns about the possible economic fallout from rapidly rising borrowing costs and the risk of a further escalation of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Furthermore, concerns that a deeper global economic downturn will dent fuel demand should limit any significant rise in oil prices.

The USD/CAD pair, for its part, reacts little to the mostly upbeat macroeconomic data from the United States and Canada. The final GDP report showed that the world’s largest economy contracted 0.6% at an annualized rate during the second quarter, matching expectations. Additionally, weekly jobless claims fell more than expected last week.

In Canada, monthly GDP beat consensus estimates and posted a modest 0.1% growth in July, although it failed to provide any momentum. That said, the fundamental background suggests that the path of least resistance for the USD/CAD pair is to the upside and any corrective pullback could be viewed as a buying opportunity.

Technical levels to watch


last price today 1,371
Today I change daily 0.0096
Today’s daily variation in % 0.71
Daily opening today 1.3614
daily SMA20 1.3293
daily SMA50 1.3061
daily SMA100 1,296
daily SMA200 1.2823
Previous daily high 1.3833
Previous Daily Low 1.3603
Previous Weekly High 1.3613
Previous Weekly Low 1.3227
Previous Monthly High 1.3141
Previous Monthly Low 1.2728
Daily Fibonacci of 38.2% 1.3691
Daily Fibonacci of 61.8% 1.3745
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3534
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3453
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3304
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3764
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3914
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3994

Source: Fx Street

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