USD/CAD eyes stability above 1.3800 amid multiple tailwinds

  • USD/CAD aims to move above 1.3800 as oil price continues to correct and BoC keeps policy unchanged.
  • Dollar falls modestly following upbeat US GDP data for the third quarter.
  • Oil prices widen losses despite worsening tensions in the Middle East.

The pair USD/CAD look for stability above the resistance of the round level of 1.3800 in the American session. The pair continues to rise amid multiple tailwinds from falling oil prices, unchanged monetary policy by the Bank of Canada (BoC), and broader strength in the US Dollar.

The S&P 500 opens lower in a context of intensifying tensions in the Middle East. The Dollar Index (DXY) recorded a small correction from 106.88 following the release of upbeat third quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. The US economy grew 4.9% in the July-September quarter, compared to expectations of 4.1% annualized. In the April-June quarter, the US economy recorded a growth rate of 2.1%.

An optimistic US GDP could raise bets for a further interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the remainder of 2023. Aside from the US GDP data, the rise in Durable goods orders have also raised hopes that the Fed will raise interest rates. New orders for durable goods grew at a stronger rate of 4.7% in September, versus expectations for a 1.5% increase.

Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar is facing an intense sell-off as the Bank of Canada (BoC) kept interest rates unchanged at 5% on Wednesday. BOC Governor Tiff Macklem kept the door open to further tightening of monetary policy, arguing that overall inflationary pressures have increased and that consumer inflation could remain above the desired 2% target for another two years.

USD/CAD

Overview
Latest price today 1.3826
Daily change today 0.0030
Today’s daily variation 0.22
Today’s daily opening 1.3796
Trends
daily SMA20 1.3666
daily SMA50 1.3595
SMA100 daily 1.3434
SMA200 daily 1.3476
Levels
Previous daily high 1,381
Previous daily low 1.3731
Previous weekly high 1.3741
Previous weekly low 1.3606
Previous Monthly High 1.3694
Previous monthly low 1.3379
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 1,378
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1.3761
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3748
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3699
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3668
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3827
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3859
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3907

Source: Fx Street

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