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USD/CAD falls back towards 1.3400 amid a rally in oil prices; USD strength limits losses

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  • USD/CAD fails to capitalize on a modest higher gapped open on Monday.
  • A rally in crude oil prices benefits the CAD and acts as a headwind for the pair.
  • A combination of factors continues to benefit the USD and offer support for the pair.

The pair USD/CAD closes the modest bullish gap opening on Monday and pull back towards the 1.3400 level during the early stages of the European session.

Crude oil prices move higher and recover some of Friday’s slide to more than a month lows, which in turn benefits the commodity-priced CAD and acts as a headwind for the USD/CAD pair. However, the fall is supported by the strong follow-up in buying interest around the US dollar.

Indeed, the DXY Dollar Index, which measures the dollar’s performance against a basket of currencies, extends Friday’s strong recovery from a nine-month low and continues to receive support from a combination of factors. Upbeat US jobs data could allow the Fed to maintain its hawkish stance and continue raising rates.

Expectations push US Treasury yields higher, which, coupled with the risk-off environment, it benefits the safe-haven USD. This, in turn, suggests that the path of least resistance for USD/CAD is to the upside and any significant decline is likely to be bought.

No major US economic data will be released on Monday, leaving the dollar at the mercy of US bond yields and broader market risk sentiment. On the other hand, traders will be guided by oil price dynamics to take advantage of some short-term opportunities around the USD/CAD pair.

USD/CAD technical levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Last price today 1.3405
Today I change daily 0.0004
today’s daily variation 0.03
today’s daily opening 1.3401
Trends
daily SMA20 1,338
daily SMA50 1.3499
daily SMA100 1.3534
daily SMA200 1.3222
levels
previous daily high 1.3427
previous daily low 1.3308
Previous Weekly High 1.3472
previous weekly low 1.3262
Previous Monthly High 1.3685
Previous monthly minimum 1.33
Fibonacci daily 38.2 1.3381
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1.3353
Daily Pivot Point S1 1,333
Daily Pivot Point S2 1,326
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3211
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3449
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3498
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3568
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Source: Fx Street

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