USD/CAD hits a 3-week high around 1.3550 behind Canadian GDP

  • USD/CAD attracts new buying near 1.3400 and jumps to a three-week high.
  • A good recovery in US bond yields and a softer risk tone help revive demand for dollars.
  • The mixed report on Canadian GDP weighs on the Loonie and provides an additional boost to the pair.

The pair USD/CAD reverses an intraday slide towards 1.3400 and rises to near 3-week highs during early North American session. Buying interest picks up after the release of Canadian monthly GDP and lifts the pair to the 1.3545-1.3550 zone in the last hour.

Statistics Canada reported that the national economy expanded a nominal 0.1% in September and 0.7% during the third quarter, beating estimates of a 0.4% reading. However, this was largely offset by a lower-than-expected 2.9% annualized growth rate in the July-September period. The mixed data, coupled with a modest pullback in crude oil prices, weigh on the commodity-linked Loonie and act as a tailwind for the USD/CAD pair.

On the other hand, the US dollar pared a portion of its intraday losses, which is seen as another factor supporting the USD/CAD pair. Initial optimism, fueled by hopes that the Chinese government will ease its stringent COVID restrictions, fades rather quickly amid concerns of a deeper global economic downturn. Apart from this, a nice intraday bounce in US Treasury yields helps revive demand for the dollar as a safe haven.

Overnight comments from influential FOMC members appear to be acting as a tailwind for US bond yields and the dollar. Indeed, St Louise Fed President James Bullard, New York Fed President John Williams, and Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard all stated that further rate hikes were warranted and that there was a long way to go to fight inflation. Furthermore, the technical buy above the key psychological 1.3500 level provides additional momentum to the USD/CAD pair.

The US Consumer Confidence Index from the Conference Board will be released next. This, along with US bond yields and broader risk sentiment, will boost demand for the USD. Also, traders will follow the oil price dynamics to take advantage of short-term opportunities around the USD/CAD pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Last price today 1.3542
Today I change daily 0.0039
Today’s daily change in % 0.29
today’s daily opening 1.3503
Trends
daily SMA20 1.3432
daily SMA50 1.3574
daily SMA100 1.3276
daily SMA200 1.3015
levels
previous daily high 1.3505
previous daily low 1.3381
Previous Weekly High 1.3495
previous weekly low 1.3316
Previous Monthly High 1.3978
Previous monthly minimum 1.3496
Daily Fibonacci of 38.2% 1.3458
Daily Fibonacci of 61.8% 1.3428
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3421
Daily Pivot Point S2 1,334
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3298
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3545
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3586
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3668

Source: Fx Street

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