USD/CAD jumps towards 1.3560 after disappointing Canadian Q2 GDP

  • The Canadian economy contracted unexpectedly during the second quarter.
  • The CAD suffers a general fall after the Canadian GDP data.
  • USD/CAD jumps towards 1.3550 despite general dollar weakness after NFP.

He USD/CAD broke above 1.3520 and rose to 1.3556, nearing Thursday’s highs, following the release of the US and Canadian Q2 jobs reports.

Canada’s real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) unexpectedly contracted at an annual rate of 0.2% in the second quarter, against expectations for a 1.2% expansion. First quarter growth numbers were revised down to 2.6% from 3.1%.

The disappointing data weighed on the CAD, which weakened broadly after the release. Next week the Bank of Canada (BOC) will meet, and no change in monetary policy is expected, especially given the growth numbers. The USD/CAD move higher was limited due to some US dollar weakness following the release of the official US employment report.

Nonfarm payrolls increased by 187,000 jobs in July, beating market expectations of 170,000. The unemployment rate rose from 3.5% to 3.8%. Median hourly earnings rose 4.3% from a year ago, below the 4.45% expected. The Dollar Index fell to 103.25, marking a new daily low, but later pared losses and rose to 103.50.

Stocks are trading above the 20-day SMA

Earlier on Friday, USD/CAD bottomed at 1.3489, the lowest level since August 16. It bounced moderately afterwards, gaining bullish momentum after the data.

Currently, the pair is rising after four consecutive days of declines and remains above the 20-day SMA which sits at 1.3515.

On the weekly chart, the USD/CAD pair is still down and is on track to post its first weekly decline after six straight weeks of gains.

technical levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Last price today 1.3544
Today I change daily 0.0035
today’s daily variation 0.26
today’s daily opening 1.3509
Trends
daily SMA20 1.3503
daily SMA50 1.3338
daily SMA100 1.3394
daily SMA200 1.3462
levels
previous daily high 1.3558
previous daily low 1.3504
Previous Weekly High 1,364
previous weekly low 1.3496
Previous Monthly High 1,364
Previous monthly minimum 1.3184
Fibonacci daily 38.2 1.3525
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1.3537
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3489
Daily Pivot Point S2 1,347
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3436
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3543
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3577
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3596

Source: Fx Street

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