USD/CAD Price Analysis: Dollar halts modest intraday rally, bears target 1.2500

  • USD/CAD witnessed fresh selling on Wednesday and fell to its lowest level since April 21st.
  • Rising oil prices underpinned the loonie and acted as a headwind amid a modest dollar pullback.
  • Sustained weakness below 1.2500 would pave the way for further short-term losses.

The pair USD/CAD struggled to hold on to its modest intraday recovery gains and was met with a fresh bid near the 1.2560 area on Wednesday. The intraday drop dragged spot prices to the lowest level since April 21, around the 1.2520 area during the early American session.

Despite rising US Treasury yields and caution, the safe-haven US dollar was unable to capitalize on its early advance amid a nice rebound in demand for the shared currency. Elsewhere, rising crude oil prices have supported the commodity-linked dollar and put some downward pressure on the USD/CAD pair.

From a technical point of view, last week’s sustained break below the important 200-day SMA was seen as a further trigger for bearish traders. Furthermore, the inability of the USD/CAD pair to gain significant traction and the appearance of fresh selling at higher levels support the prospects for an extension of the nearly month long downtrend.

Further selling below the key psychological 1.2500 level will reaffirm the negative bias and drag the USD/CAD pair to the next relevant support near the 1.2450 area. The bearish trajectory could extend further and allow the bears to challenge the low of the year around 1.2400 hit on April 5th.

On the other hand, the 1.2560 area, or the daily high, seems to have become an immediate hurdle. Any further move higher could be seen as a selling opportunity near 1.2600. This, in turn, should limit the USD/CAD pair’s upside near the 200 DMA support breakout point, currently at the 1.2660 zone.

USD/CAD daily chart

Technical levels

USD/CAD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1.2548
Today’s Daily Change 0.0017
Today’s Daily Change % 0.14
Today’s Daily Opening 1.2531
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1.2765
50 Daily SMA 1.2717
100 Daily SMA 1.27
200 Daily SMA 1.2662
levels
Previous Daily High 1.2619
Previous Daily Minimum 1.2524
Previous Maximum Weekly 1.2714
Previous Weekly Minimum 1.2551
Monthly Prior Maximum 1.3077
Previous Monthly Minimum 1.2629
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1,256
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2582
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2497
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2463
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2403
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2592
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2653
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2687

Source: Fx Street

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