USD/CAD Price Analysis: Upside Potential Intact, Looks Ready to Reclaim 1.3000 Level

  • USD/CAD spiked to a new yearly high on Monday, though it struggled to capitalize on the move.
  • Last week’s break through a descending trend line supports prospects for further gains.
  • Any significant pullback could still be seen as a buying opportunity and remain capped.

The pair USD/CAD gained positive traction for the third consecutive session and rose to a new yearly high around the 1.2950-1.2955 zone on the first day of a new week.

The drop in crude oil prices undermined the commodity-linked Canadian dollar and proved to be a key factor that acted as a tailwind for the USD/CAD pair. That said, the US dollar’s modest pullback from a two-decade high hit earlier this Monday capped gains and forced spot prices back around 30 pips from the daily high.

From a technical perspective, last week’s strong move higher helped the USD/CAD pair confirm a bullish breakout through a downward sloping trend line extending from December 2021. A subsequent move beyond the mark The price of 1.2900 validated the constructive outlook and supports the prospects for further appreciation movement in the short term.

Therefore, some follow-on strength, towards the recovery of the key psychological 1.3000 mark, remains a distinct possibility amid expectations of more aggressive policy tightening by the Fed. Momentum could extend further. and push the USD/CAD pair towards the next relevant resistance near the 1.3045-1.3050 region.

On the other hand, the 1.2910-1.2900 area now appears to protect the immediate drop ahead of the rising trend line resistance break point, currently mid-1.2800. Any further pullback could still be seen as a buying opportunity near the 1.2800 round figure, which should now act as a strong base for the USD/CAD pair.

A convincing break below would nullify the short-term bullish bias and trigger some technical selling. The USD/CAD pair could turn vulnerable to accelerate the decline towards the test of last week’s low around the 1.2715-1.2710 region.

USD/CAD daily chart

Technical levels

USD/CAD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1.2953
Today’s Daily Change 0.0049
Today’s Daily Change % 0.38
Today’s Daily Opening 1.2904
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1.2716
50 Daily SMA 1.2664
100 Daily SMA 1.2682
200 Daily SMA 1.2641
levels
Previous Daily High 1.2914
Previous Daily Minimum 1.2814
Previous Maximum Weekly 1.2914
Previous Weekly Minimum 1.2713
Monthly Prior Maximum 1,288
Previous Monthly Minimum 1.2403
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2876
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2852
Daily Pivot Point S1 1,284
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2777
Daily Pivot Point S3 1,274
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2941
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2978
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3042

Source: Fx Street

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