USD/CAD reaches 6-day highs as oil prices fall and the dollar resurges

He USD/CAD has recovered more than 50 pips this Wednesday, rising above 1.3400 by mid-morning Europe to reach new six-day highs at 1.3436.

A combination of factors weigh heavily on the Canadian dollar, which coupled with a rally in the dollar acts as a tailwind for USD/CAD. Despite declining US inventories and strong Chinese economic data, Oil prices fall to a new monthly low amid concerns that rising borrowing costs will slow economic growth and curb inflation. fuel demand. Aside from this, signs of cooling inflation in Canada undermine the commodity-linked CAD.

On the other hand, the dollar is supported by a new rise in US Treasury bond yields, reinforced by the prospects of a further tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Indeed, markets have almost fully priced in a 25 basis point hike in May and Fed funds futures indicate a slim chance of another rate hike in June. This, in turn, pushes the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond and the rate-sensitive two-year note to multi-week highs.

Meanwhile, the latest momentum to the upside confirms the breakout of the 200-day SMA, which, together with the aforementioned support, suggests that the path towards a further rise in interest rates in June- This suggests that the path of The lowest resistance for the USD/CAD pair is to the upside. In the absence of market-relevant economic data on Wednesday from both the US and Canada, investors will focus on the Fed’s Beige Book release later in the US session for sentiment. from the central bank on the state of the US economy.

This, coupled with US bond yields, will boost demand for dollars and provide some boost to USD/CAD. In addition, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) Oil inventories will be published, which should influence the dynamics of Oil prices and contribute to generating short-term opportunities around the main currencies.

USD/CAD Technical Levels

USD/CAD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1.3434
Today’s Daily Change 0.0044
Today’s Daily Change % 0.33
Today’s Daily Open 1,339
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1.3515
SMA of 50 Daily 1.3562
SMA of 100 Daily 1.3528
SMA of 200 Daily 1.3405
levels
Previous Daily High 1.34
Minimum Previous Daily 1,336
Previous Weekly High 1.3554
Previous Weekly Minimum 1.3301
Maximum Prior Monthly 1.3862
Minimum Prior Monthly 1.3508
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3375
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3384
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3367
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3343
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3327
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3406
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3423
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3446

Source: Fx Street

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