USD/CAD rises towards 1.3600 as oil prices pull back

  • USD/CAD gains bullish momentum early on Wednesday after two days of decline.
  • WTI is trading in negative territory as markets wait for OPEC+ to unveil its production strategy.
  • The USD is benefiting from safe haven currency flows amid escalating geopolitical tensions.

Having lost almost 300 pips in a two day drop, USD/CAD has reversed its direction and has risen towards 1.3600 on Wednesday. At time of writing, the pair quotes at 1.3570, up nearly 0.40% on the day.

WTI turns down ahead of OPEC+ decision

The sharp rise in crude oil prices helped the commodity-sensitive CAD outperform its rivals earlier in the week. After being informed that OPEC + could reduce crude oil production by up to 2 million barrels per daya barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained more than 3% and hit its highest level since mid-September at $87 on Tuesday.

Nevertheless, the observed negative shift in risk sentiment appears to push oil prices lower mid-week and does not allow the CAD to retain its strength. OPEC+ will announce its production strategy throughout the day and the European Union is expected to introduce a new package of sanctions against Russia which will most likely include a cap on oil prices.

Meanwhile, US stock index futures are down sharply as geopolitical tensions continue to rise. The Russian President, Vladimir Putin plans to address the nation and announce a change in the status of the “special operation”. Russia’s ambassador warned earlier in the day that a US decision to send more military aid to Ukraine would increase the danger of a direct clash between Russia and the West.

In the second half of the day, the US economic docket will feature ADP private sector employment data and the ISM services PMI survey.

USD/CAD key levels

USD/CAD

Overview
last price today 1,357
daily change today 0.0052
Today’s daily variation in % 0.38
Daily opening today 1.3518
Trends
daily SMA20 1.3397
daily SMA50 1.3123
daily SMA100 1,299
daily SMA200 1,284
levels
Previous daily high 1.3664
Previous Daily Low 1.3503
Previous Weekly High 1.3838
Previous Weekly Low 1,356
Previous Monthly High 1.3838
Previous Monthly Low 1.2954
Daily Fibonacci of 38.2% 1.3565
Daily Fibonacci of 61.8% 1.3603
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3459
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.34
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3297
Daily Pivot Point R1 1,362
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3723
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3782

Source: Fx Street

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