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USD/CHF falls to its lowest level since November 2021

  • The Swiss franc rises strongly against the dollar and the euro.
  • Expectations for a less dovish ECB support the Swiss franc.
  • USD/CHF falls for the fifth day in a row on Wednesday.

The USD/CHF it falls almost a hundred points on Wednesday after paring some losses in the last hour. The pair bottomed at 0.9084, the lowest level since November 2021, and then bounced past 0.9100 again.

Falling US and European government bond yields weakened the dollar and favored the Swiss franc. The Swiss 10-year bond yield fell to 1.05%, the lowest level since early December, and the US 10-year bond yield fell to 3.38%, the lowest level since September.

Demand for European bonds strengthened after data showed slowing inflation and some “not so bad” activity numbers; and in particular following a media report on Tuesday that mentioned that European Central Bank policymakers are starting to consider a slower pace of interest rate hikes after the February meeting.

Expectations of a less aggressive ECB sent the euro down, which remains a drag. The EUR/CHF pair has suffered a sharp decline, reversing sharply from 6-month highs near 1.0100 to levels below 0.9900.

Economic data released on Wednesday weighed further on USD/CHF. Inflation figures were below expectations, while Retail Sales and Industrial Production fell more than expected.

USD/CHF breaks 0.9200

USD/CHF is consolidating below 0.9200, reinforcing the downtrend. On the other hand, the next critical support is the 0.9100 area. A daily close below would open the door for more losses. A recovery above 0.9220 would ease the negative tone.

technical levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Last price today 0.9111
today’s daily change -0.0109
today’s daily variation -1.18
today’s daily opening 0.922
Trends
daily SMA20 0.9282
daily SMA50 0.9373
daily SMA100 0.9615
daily SMA200 0.9643
levels
previous daily high 0.9276
previous daily low 0.9188
Previous Weekly High 0.9363
previous weekly low 0.9167
Previous Monthly High 0.9471
Previous monthly minimum 0.9201
Fibonacci daily 38.2 0.9222
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 0.9243
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.918
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9139
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9091
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9268
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9317
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9357

Source: Fx Street

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