USD/CHF falls towards 0.8900 after a risk aversion boost as traders eye US CPI data.

  • The USD/CHF pair starts the week with minimal losses as risk aversion remains in the driver’s seat.
  • US wholesale inventories were flat in March, up 9.1% year-on-year despite a first-quarter decline.
  • Investors are watching the Fed Mortgage Loan Survey and US inflation data.

The pair USD/CHF started the week with minimal losses of 0.15%, despite the latest round of Swiss inflation data suggesting the Swiss National Bank (SNB) may take a less dour approach. The latest data from the US showed a strong labor market, although traders are watching for inflation data this week. At the time of writing, USD/CHF is trading at 0.8891, down 0.15% from its opening price.

US stocks trending lower, reflecting a sour mood with investors looking for safety moved to the CHF

The USD/CHF pair will continue to fall during the day as the US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the dollar against a basket of six currencies, fell 0.02% to 101.190. US stocks trend lower as investors keep an eye on the latest Senior Loan Officer Survey (SLOOS) released by the Fed amid ongoing US banking turmoil.

Although US bank stocks have regained some ground, Wall Street remains under pressure as sentiment has taken a hit as US debt limit discussions show no signs of abating. improvement. The US Treasury Secretary, Janet Yellen, commented that there are “no good options” to solve the debt limit in Washington without the help of the US Congress.

In terms of data, the US Economic Agenda revealed that wholesale inventories were unchanged in March, below estimates of 0.1% m/m, the US Commerce Department revealed. On a year-over-year basis, inventories rose 9.1% in March, despite a first-quarter decline, as higher US consumer spending contributed to lower inventories.

USD/CHF Technical Analysis

USD/CHF Daily chart

From a daily chart perspective, USD/CHF remains skewed to the downside, although it is trading above year-long lows of 0.8820. However, as price action continues in a downtrend, the RSI is making higher lows, which means a positive divergence is emerging. Therefore, this could open the door for further gains, but the RSI should break above the 50 midline. Downside risks in USD/CHF at 0.8820, followed by 0.8800. Conversely, if USD/CHF recaptures the 0.8900 zone, rallies are warranted, although a trend line of resistance to the downside is in sight at 0.8970, before rising above 0.9000.

USD/CHF

Overview
Last price today 0.8898
today’s daily change -0.0011
today’s daily variation -0.12
today’s daily opening 0.8909
Trends
daily SMA20 0.8939
daily SMA50 0.9116
daily SMA100 0.9184
daily SMA200 0.9431
levels
previous daily high 0.8974
previous daily low 0.8835
Previous Weekly High 0.8995
previous weekly low 0.882
Previous Monthly High 0.9198
Previous monthly minimum 0.8852
Fibonacci daily 38.2 0.8921
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 0.8888
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8838
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8767
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8699
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.8977
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9045
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9116

Source: Fx Street

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