USD/CHF hits one-month highs near 0.8650 ahead of US retail sales

  • US Dollar rebounds to one-month record highs on fading Fed cut hopes.
  • Today US retail sales will be released and the Fed will hear speeches.
  • The USD/CHF recovery could find resistance in the 0.8665 area.

The US dollar continues to advance after rallying 1.5% in the last five trading days. The pair has peaked in the mid-range of 0.8650 with investors reducing Fed rate cut expectations, ahead of the release of US retail sales figures.

Retail consumption is expected to have increased at a faster rate of 0.4% in December. This likely confirms that the US economy remains resilient and that the Fed still has work to do to bring inflation to its target.

After the release, attention will turn to speeches from Fed policymakers. New York Fed President John Williams and board member Michelle Bowman, traditionally hawks, as well as Vice Chairman Michael Bar, are likely to with a more neutral profile, share their views on the outlook for monetary policy.

A broader perspective shows the pair in a corrective recovery after having depreciated almost 10% in the last quarter of 2023. The pair is approaching the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the mentioned decline, at 0.8665, where it could find some sellers . Above here, the next target is 0.8720.

Supports are at 0.8575, the previous resistance zone, and at 0.8460.

Technical levels to monitor

USD/CHF

Overview
Latest price today 0.8639
Today I change daily 0.0024
Today's daily variation 0.28
Today's daily opening 0.8615
Trends
daily SMA20 0.8514
daily SMA50 0.8691
SMA100 daily 0.885
SMA200 daily 0.8867
Levels
Previous daily high 0.862
Previous daily low 0.8555
Previous weekly high 0.8566
Previous weekly low 0.846
Previous Monthly High 0.8821
Previous monthly low 0.8333
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 0.8595
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 0.858
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8574
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8532
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8509
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.8638
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.8661
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.8702

Source: Fx Street

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