USD/CHF Price Analysis: Bulls have the upper hand, 0.9745-50 confluence hurdle breakout on the line

  • USD/CHF soared to a near three-week high on Tuesday amid broad-based USD strength.
  • Risk aversion underpinned the safe haven CHF and capped any significant upside.
  • Acceptance above the 0.9745-0.9750 confluence supports prospects for further gains.

On Tuesday, the pair USD/CHF gained strong follow-up traction for the third day in a row and soared to a nearly three-week high during the early American session. The pair last traded around the 0.9765-0.9770 zone, up more than 0.60% on the day.

The recent rise in US Treasury yields continued to lend support to the US dollar, which, in turn, was seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the USD/CHF pair. The bulls were not affected by a softer risk tone, which tends to benefit the Swiss franc, which is a safe haven.

The momentum pushed price through the 0.9745-0.9750 confluence hurdle, which comprises the 200-period SMA on the 4hrs chart and the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the 1.0064-0.9545 decline. This could have already laid the groundwork for a further short-term appreciation move.

With the oscillators on the daily chart just starting to gain positive traction, the USD/CHF pair looks poised to reclaim the 0.9800 level. This level coincides with the 50% Fibonacci level which, if broken decisively, would be considered a new trigger for bulls.

The USD/CHF pair could then accelerate the upside to the 61.8% Fibonacci level test around the 0.9870 region on the way to the next relevant barrier near 0.9900 and the 0.9925-0.9930 zone.

On the other hand, the pullback below the confluence resistance breakout point of 0.9750-0.9745 could now be seen as a buying opportunity and remain capped near the 0.9720-0.9715 region. This is followed by the 0.9700 level, which if broken could change the bias in favor of bearish traders.

USD/CHF 4-hour chart

Technical levels

USD/CHF

Panorama
Last Price Today 0.9737
Today’s Daily Change 0.0030
Today’s Daily Change % 0.31
Today’s Daily Opening 0.9707
Trends
20 Daily SMA 0.9751
50 Daily SMA 0.9607
100 Daily SMA 0.9429
200 Daily SMA 0.9322
levels
Previous Daily High 0.9714
Previous Daily Minimum 0.9606
Previous Maximum Weekly 0.9659
Previous Weekly Minimum 0.9554
Monthly Prior Maximum 1.0064
Previous Monthly Minimum 0.9545
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9673
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9647
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9637
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9567
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9528
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9746
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9784
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9855

Source: Fx Street

You may also like