USD/CHF Price Analysis: It is at the top of the 0.9600-0.9660 range

  • USD/CHF rebounds from weekly lows to end the week with gains of 0.73%.
  • From a daily chart point of view, USD/CHF has nowhere to go; probably remain in consolidation.
  • In the short term, a symmetrical triangle on the 4-hour chart of USD/CHF points to 0.9767.

The USD/CHF rallies after hitting weekly lows around 0.9577 earlier in the day and is about to erase Thursday’s losses as USD/CHF heads towards the 100-DMA, following aggressive comments from the chairman of the US Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell. USD/CHF is trading at 0.9659, up nearly 0.20%.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical Outlook

Consolidation on the daily chart will keep USD/CHF trading within the 0.9600-0.9690 range, as this week’s price action shows. It is worth noting that the support/resistance levels are the 100 and 50 day EMAs, each at 0.9657 and 0.9614, respectively. Therefore, unless the exchange rate decisively breaks above/below the range, USD/CHF could remain subdued.

In the short term, the USD/CHF 4-hour scale shows the formation of a symmetrical triangle in an uptrend, which was “falsely” broken lower on Fed Powell’s comments, although it closed inside the top-bottom of the trend lines. Furthermore, the USD/CHF bias is neutral to bullish, confirmed by the moving averages residing below the spot price, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) became the forensic one and started to head higher in positive territory.

Therefore, the first resistance of the USD/CHF would be the upper trend line of the symmetrical triangle. A break above it will expose the confluence of the R2 pivot point and the 0.9700 figure. Once broken, the next supply zone would be the height of the symmetrical triangle, targeting 0.9767, followed by the psychological mark of 0.9800.

Key USD/CHF Technical Levels

USD/CHF

Panorama
Last Price Today 0.9666
Today’s Daily Change 0.0035
Today’s Daily Change % 0.36
Today’s Daily Opening 0.9631
Trends
20 Daily SMA 0.9547
50 Daily SMA 0.9621
100 Daily SMA 0.9659
200 Daily SMA 0.9448
levels
Previous Daily High 0.9671
Previous Daily Minimum 0.9613
Previous Maximum Weekly 0.9598
Previous Weekly Minimum 0.9409
Monthly Prior Maximum 0.9886
Previous Monthly Minimum 0.9502
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9635
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9649
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9606
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.958
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9548
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9664
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9696
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9722

Source: Fx Street

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