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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Struggling at 20 DMA, Falls Below 0.9200

  • USD/CHF bulls crashed through the 20 day EMA and then jumped ship as bears intervened.
  • The pair is heading towards the psychological zone of 0.9100, which, once broken, could put last year’s low into play.
  • USD/CHF: Failure to post a new yearly low could exacerbate a bullish correction.

The USD/CHF struggles to break above the 20 day EMA and turns below 0.9200 to fresh two-day lows at 0.9172 as the US dollar continues to be offered in the currency space. In addition, a risk aversion momentum underpins the safe haven status of the Swiss franc (CHF). Therefore, USD/CHF is trading at 0.9182 after reaching a daily high of 0.9245.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical Perspective

USD/CHF continued its downtrend after hitting a weekly high at 0.9297, unable to recover 0.9300, compounding the decline below the 20-day EMA at 0.9241. Furthermore, it opened the way for the USD/CHF pair to test the year-to-date (YTD) lows at 0.9085, although initially, it would have to break through intermediate demand zones.

On its way to the year-to-date lows, the first support level for USD/CHF would be this week’s low of 0.9159. A break below would uncover the Jan 20 daily low at 0.9141, ahead of the 0.9100 signal. Once the psychological price level subsides, then the yearly low would be in play.

As an alternative scenario, the first resistance for USD/CHF would be the 0.9200 area. Once broken, USD/CHF could test the 20-day EMA at 0.9241, followed by a two-month downtrend line around 0.9250/60.

Looking ahead, the failure of USD/CHF to test the previous year’s low could expose the pair to some buying pressure as the pair has been bottoming around 0.9085/0.9160 since December 2022.

Key technical levels for USD/CHF

USD/CHF

Overview
Last price today 0.9182
Today Change Daily -0.0046
today’s daily variation -0.50
today’s daily opening 0.9228
Trends
daily SMA20 0.9253
daily SMA50 0.9336
daily SMA100 0.9584
daily SMA200 0.9637
levels
previous daily high 0.928
previous daily low 0.9192
Previous Weekly High 0.9288
previous weekly low 0.9085
Previous Monthly High 0.9471
Previous monthly minimum 0.9201
Fibonacci daily 38.2 0.9246
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 0.9226
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9187
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9146
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.91
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9274
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9321
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9362

Source: Fx Street

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