USD/CHF Price Analysis: The pair stumbles towards a fresh two-week low below 0.9650

  • USD/CHF will end the week with solid losses of 1.30%.
  • Market sentiment remains negative, a headwind for USD/CHF.
  • USD/CHF Price Analysis: A break below 0.9600 would open the door towards 0.9510.

The USD/CHF falls on worse-than-expected US PMI data, further extending its weekly losses as sentiment deteriorates due to the aforementioned and earnings reports from US tech companies. Investors sought safe havens and peers, bolstering the Swiss franc. At the time of writing, USD/CHF is trading at 0.9631, down 0.34%.

US stocks fell across the board, while the USD fell 0.11%, as the dollar index shows at 106.483. US bonds jump, fueling a slide in US Treasury yields, led by the 10-year yield down ten basis points to 2,776%.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical Outlook

USD/CHF started trading around the 0.9660 area and rallied towards the daily high of 0.9700. However, buyers had a hard time breaking through the resistance, with USD/CHF dipping to a daily low of 0.9599 before settling at the current exchange rate.

USD/CHF 1 hour chart

“A breakout of the latter (0.9675) will immediately expose the lower trend line of the aforementioned ascending channel, meaning the next target for USD/CHF would be 0.9600.” This happened on Friday, and the pair entered a range as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) jumped off oversold readings, approaching the 50 midline.

However, the USD/CHF bias remains bearish, but an extension of the upside is anticipated, and USD/CHF could reach the S1 daily pivot at 0.9640 before resuming the downtrend. Therefore, the first USD/CHF support would be the S2 daily pivot at 0.9614. A break below exposes the 0.9600 figure, followed by the S3 pivot at 0.9560 and the S4 daily pivot at 0.9514.

Technical levels

USD/CHF

Panorama
Last Price Today 0.9633
Today’s Daily Change -0.0035
Today’s Daily Change % -0.36
Today’s Daily Opening 0.9668
Trends
20 Daily SMA 0.9691
50 Daily SMA 0.9719
100 Daily SMA 0.9597
200 Daily SMA 0.9402
levels
Previous Daily High 0.974
Previous Daily Minimum 0.9664
Previous Maximum Weekly 0.9886
Previous Weekly Minimum 0.9757
Monthly Prior Maximum 1,005
Previous Monthly Minimum 0.9495
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9693
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9711
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9642
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9616
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9567
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9717
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9766
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9792

Source: Fx Street

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