USD/CHF pulls back to 1.0000 amid weaker dollar, downside looks limited

  • USD/CHF is witnessing a corrective pullback from a two-year high amid modest USD weakness.
  • Risk appetite could weigh on the safe-haven CHF and help limit any significant decline.
  • Expectations of an aggressive Fed rate hike and a nice rally in US bond yields also favor USD bulls.

The pair USD/CHF has fallen to a new daily low during the European session and could now be looking to extend the corrective pullback below the psychological level of 1.0000.

The pair has moved lower on the last day of the week and now has given back some of the previous day’s strong move to the 1,050 area, its highest level since May 2019. The drop could be attributed solely to some profit-taking amid a modest US dollar pullback from a two-decade high, though a combination of factors should help limit any significant decline.

A rally in global stock markets could weigh on the safe-haven Swiss franc and act as a tailwind for the USD/CHF pair.. Risk appetite was bolstered by a strong rebound in US Treasury yields, which coupled with prospects of more aggressive Fed tightening should lend support to the dollar and the pair. USD/CHF.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell also reaffirmed on Thursday that the central bank is willing to raise interest rates by 50 basis points at each of the next two meetings. Powell further promised that the Fed was prepared to do more to curb rising inflation.. However, the fundamental backdrop still seems to lean heavily in favor of dollar bulls.

Therefore, it will be prudent to wait for a strong follow-up of selling before confirming that the USD/CHF pair has topped out in the near term and positioning for a further correction. Market participants are now awaiting the release of the US preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index to gain further momentum at the start of the American session.

USD/CHF technical levels

USD/CHF

Panorama
Last Price Today 1.0007
Today’s Daily Change -0.0024
Today’s Daily Change % -0.24
Today’s Daily Opening 1.0031
Trends
20 Daily SMA 0.9713
50 Daily SMA 0.9474
100 Daily SMA 0.9338
200 Daily SMA 0.9276
levels
Previous Daily High 1.0049
Previous Daily Minimum 0.9929
Previous Maximum Weekly 0.9892
Previous Weekly Minimum 0.9707
Monthly Prior Maximum 0.9759
Previous Monthly Minimum 0.9221
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0003
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9975
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9957
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9883
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9837
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0077
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0123
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0197

Source: Fx Street

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